Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 36 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 44 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 31 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 22 5 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 51 8 2 12 16 12 20
VCDI 0 139 81 94 129 729 7259 23268
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 42 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 38 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 42 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 17 5 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 42 13 9 2 25 30 11
VCDI 0 119 105 111 138 600 8730 21863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 96 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 41 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 104 20 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 31 28 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 32 65 46 30 27
VCDI 0 0 3 53 181 974 10807 19273
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 37 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 21 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 17 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 121 13 2 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 59 35 26 56 51 5
VCDI 0 0 12 68 160 909 9886 20383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 45 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 15 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 15 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 120 13 3 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 51 33 24 55 58 5
VCDI 0 0 20 69 162 910 9879 20383

Date: 2014-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 33 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 23 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 7 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 7 6 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 62 49 27 21 12 14 0
VCDI 0 0 31 120 152 894 11135 19201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 47 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 10 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 5 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 5 6 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 65 38 26 21 12 55 0
VCDI 0 13 45 121 153 894 11094 19201

Date: 2014-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 56 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 36 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 23 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 52 13 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 40 19 38 29 5
VCDI 0 0 2 85 161 1699 12631 16881
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 40 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 26 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 26 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 3 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 56 10 3 5 101 53 6
VCDI 0 95 74 135 177 1635 12607 16880

Date: 2014-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 20 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 31 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 43 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 18 4 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 48 9 3 3 69 54 0
VCDI 0 64 67 68 105 1446 12027 17886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 32 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 23 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 30 3 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 17 3 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 24 9 2 4 62 46 2
VCDI 0 129 77 69 101 1453 12035 17884

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 43 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 46 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 37 4 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 59 13 7 1 18 24 0
VCDI 0 93 89 94 137 1029 13427 16859
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 44 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 29 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 30 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 28 1 0 1 1 0
CDI 0 16 6 3 0 12 37 0
VCDI 0 157 116 104 138 1034 13413 16859


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