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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63581 19656 2735 816 140 12 2 0
OW 63 309 440 548 154 23 8 0
VODI 0 128 250 594 275 82 13 0
ODI 0 76 103 319 397 103 28 0
CDI 0 22 145 186 623 378 96 0
VCDI 0 0 117 349 1045 3927 6618 4739
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62777 20633 2656 773 109 4 0 0
OW 63 387 509 512 121 28 2 0
VODI 0 165 354 540 247 79 11 0
ODI 0 103 113 353 292 140 26 0
CDI 0 98 108 239 507 335 77 0
VCDI 0 21 189 358 1193 3955 6789 4234
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60537 22674 2590 1289 336 36 0 0
OW 63 148 348 639 163 53 0 0
VODI 0 133 180 696 344 131 1 0
ODI 0 87 95 328 509 203 27 0
CDI 0 36 100 179 596 359 153 0
VCDI 0 0 45 175 579 3079 8065 4124
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60979 21921 2935 894 45 5 0 0
OW 63 189 488 602 153 12 1 0
VODI 0 93 313 689 399 60 8 0
ODI 0 19 172 450 635 184 31 0
CDI 0 2 129 457 928 454 121 0
VCDI 0 0 12 197 866 3928 6922 3744
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60979 21999 3182 1176 105 6 0 0
OW 63 131 286 471 147 12 0 0
VODI 0 74 275 544 341 45 5 0
ODI 0 18 158 410 541 174 10 0
CDI 0 2 131 461 930 451 87 0
VCDI 0 0 17 227 962 3955 6981 3744

Date: 2014-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60397 21365 3035 1300 219 21 5 0
OW 51 167 462 633 216 26 19 0
VODI 0 62 351 660 407 77 34 0
ODI 0 16 148 444 678 101 42 0
CDI 0 0 67 460 1179 701 134 0
VCDI 0 0 24 155 959 3234 7520 3731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60385 21449 3300 1657 331 42 14 0
OW 63 115 289 377 175 16 12 0
VODI 0 40 268 500 316 50 26 0
ODI 0 6 127 470 504 92 28 0
CDI 0 0 69 430 1195 665 127 0
VCDI 0 0 34 218 1137 3295 7547 3731

Date: 2014-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61496 21052 3095 1039 113 0 0 0
OW 63 106 495 810 197 6 0 0
VODI 0 1 139 800 495 51 1 0
ODI 0 0 8 424 663 242 11 0
CDI 0 0 6 153 954 1119 156 0
VCDI 0 0 3 65 575 3400 7610 3752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61496 20988 3060 1246 351 13 0 0
OW 63 101 287 434 175 45 1 0
VODI 0 57 195 517 291 92 15 0
ODI 0 13 124 427 324 132 28 0
CDI 0 0 51 445 785 738 137 0
VCDI 0 0 29 222 1071 3798 7597 3752

Date: 2014-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61681 20189 3143 1171 93 18 0 0
OW 51 61 437 875 198 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 217 732 486 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 397 669 323 28 0
CDI 0 0 7 181 850 933 130 0
VCDI 0 0 9 104 520 2800 8377 4278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61681 20151 3146 1649 388 63 0 0
OW 51 82 250 382 159 53 0 0
VODI 0 10 229 435 267 75 16 0
ODI 0 4 128 348 377 167 29 0
CDI 0 3 33 351 803 863 157 0
VCDI 0 0 57 295 822 2965 8333 4278

Date: 2014-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60399 20938 3082 1344 145 23 0 0
OW 51 63 393 766 221 26 0 0
VODI 0 2 235 771 442 74 1 0
ODI 0 0 55 414 551 287 40 0
CDI 0 0 18 262 889 1002 163 0
VCDI 0 0 12 119 774 3410 7989 4139
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60399 20846 3091 1978 545 80 0 0
OW 51 81 246 318 200 69 1 0
VODI 0 50 187 401 303 167 6 0
ODI 0 11 131 344 284 428 39 0
CDI 0 6 47 401 699 922 211 0
VCDI 0 9 93 234 991 3156 7936 4139


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