Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 96 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 37 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 60 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 37 9 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 83 32 10 27 22 4
VCDI 0 0 94 79 177 642 6494 24128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 63 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 17 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 17 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 5 1 9 0 0
CDI 0 48 31 9 5 26 12 0
VCDI 0 95 61 121 180 612 7795 22803
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 21 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 15 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 17 4 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 122 19 4 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 67 62 38 5 64 4 0
VCDI 0 0 7 99 169 932 7092 23090
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 33 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 33 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 12 3 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 73 4 1 22 34 10 4
VCDI 0 112 83 99 159 927 7245 23023
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 29 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 25 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 29 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 16 3 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 63 7 2 22 38 16 5
VCDI 0 134 82 99 159 923 7239 23022

Date: 2014-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 44 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 36 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 23 20 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 13 14 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 46 19 8 0 13 5 13
VCDI 0 119 81 105 137 645 8022 22611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 53 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 30 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 18 19 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 10 10 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 36 19 10 0 15 9 14
VCDI 0 133 86 107 137 643 8018 22610

Date: 2014-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 50 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 155 49 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 46 34 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 14 28 10 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 19 53 56 22 15
VCDI 0 0 3 35 112 660 9464 21018
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 31 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 18 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 22 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 13 5 3 5 0 0
CDI 0 21 6 10 25 41 20 18
VCDI 0 150 78 103 150 673 9466 21015

Date: 2014-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 97 35 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 22 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 19 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 149 42 9 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 30 38 39 50 66 25
VCDI 0 0 10 55 146 1091 11169 18869
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 24 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 17 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 25 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 9 4 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 33 4 1 5 38 110 16
VCDI 0 158 79 101 183 1103 11125 18878

Date: 2014-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 35 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 27 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 16 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 82 5 6 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 50 61 34 13 12 9 4
VCDI 0 0 20 94 151 718 10028 20526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 19 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 15 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 16 5 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 17 2 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 25 7 3 4 10 41 17
VCDI 0 136 90 129 157 720 9996 20513


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