Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 12 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 10 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 9 14 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 8 25 12 1 0 0
CDI 0 55 33 26 17 30 19 13
VCDI 0 47 86 185 215 918 9232 20788
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 19 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 21 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 23 3 5 3 0 0
ODI 0 39 7 5 8 20 0 0
CDI 0 52 7 1 33 48 0 31
VCDI 0 88 100 163 207 774 8114 22120
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 40 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 24 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 20 4 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 84 5 3 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 69 81 84 124 10 13 11
VCDI 0 0 0 36 237 864 7875 22291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 59 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 22 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 25 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 7 6 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 62 40 36 26 26 1 9
VCDI 0 18 40 69 174 779 6445 24065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 68 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 15 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 21 10 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 7 7 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 55 41 39 32 23 1 10
VCDI 0 33 41 66 169 782 6445 24064

Date: 2014-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 40 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 11 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 18 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 11 7 2 5 0 0
CDI 0 50 29 34 14 42 26 5
VCDI 0 57 53 73 164 659 8129 22450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 44 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 12 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 16 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 9 7 2 3 0 0
CDI 0 28 28 34 7 38 24 0
VCDI 0 90 53 72 171 665 8131 22455

Date: 2014-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 32 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 5 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 50 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 46 48 4 17 0 0
CDI 0 7 10 42 34 39 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 141 754 6882 23528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 5 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 5 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 4 3 0 5 0 0
CDI 0 30 6 2 0 23 17 0
VCDI 0 156 100 125 179 782 6885 23528

Date: 2014-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 21 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 20 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 28 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 10 2 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 130 14 3 2 52 14 1
VCDI 0 60 73 118 155 1069 8015 22046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 18 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 22 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 13 0 0 3 0 0
CDI 0 24 8 2 0 46 19 23
VCDI 0 252 91 122 157 1074 8010 22024

Date: 2014-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 36 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 44 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 31 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 22 5 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 51 8 2 12 16 12 20
VCDI 0 139 81 94 129 729 7259 23268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 35 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 24 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 34 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 20 3 2 7 0 0
CDI 0 20 10 2 15 36 15 5
VCDI 0 197 99 98 124 702 7256 23283


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