Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 13 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 7 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 3 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 9 14 17 2 0 0
CDI 0 16 13 18 15 58 37 0
VCDI 0 8 5 46 168 626 6073 24549
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 242 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 5 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 5 9 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 8 11 12 2 0 0
CDI 0 15 12 18 5 17 0 0
VCDI 0 6 8 47 85 356 3644 27446
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 10 3 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 7 17 6 1 0 0
ODI 0 24 9 9 11 4 0 0
CDI 0 8 6 30 14 45 14 0
VCDI 0 3 5 55 81 361 6130 24919
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 163 21 14 1 0 0 0
OW 0 22 9 13 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 16 21 6 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 26 6 5 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 15 23 64 61 7
VCDI 0 0 1 13 109 759 8766 21930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 164 20 15 1 0 0 0
OW 0 20 10 12 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 16 20 6 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 25 6 5 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 15 22 59 64 7
VCDI 0 0 0 15 110 764 8763 21930

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 15 11 4 0 0 0
OW 0 38 8 6 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 6 5 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 7 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 14 14 12 29 88 1
VCDI 0 6 16 122 141 516 11292 19462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 181 16 11 4 0 0 0
OW 0 36 8 4 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 5 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 8 7 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 14 16 17 26 97 1
VCDI 0 1 14 121 139 519 11283 19462

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 26 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 37 9 7 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 5 7 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 9 10 12 2 2 0
CDI 0 4 14 22 13 46 46 7
VCDI 0 8 15 92 114 528 11306 19487
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 21 24 3 0 0 0
OW 0 35 10 8 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 4 9 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 6 6 10 0 1 0
CDI 0 10 14 12 21 35 50 9
VCDI 0 13 23 109 117 541 11303 19485

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 24 30 8 0 0 0
OW 0 14 15 19 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 29 10 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 21 14 4 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 25 56 82 2
VCDI 0 0 0 6 120 597 11602 19256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 16 28 8 0 0 0
OW 0 19 16 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 13 27 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 21 11 3 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 34 58 90 2
VCDI 0 0 0 10 117 597 11597 19256

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 29 28 32 1 0 0
OW 0 4 6 26 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 9 38 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 28 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 22 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 332 9328 22052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 23 28 40 0 0 0
OW 0 9 9 22 22 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 9 31 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 26 18 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 27 37 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 301 9280 22052


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