Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66009 17183 423 558 245 169 65 0
OW 53 923 138 388 164 72 1 0
VODI 0 532 160 382 374 167 29 0
ODI 0 288 78 184 503 265 95 0
CDI 0 172 78 240 459 695 440 9
VCDI 0 273 91 378 1240 7991 32170 53364
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65521 16933 440 741 273 168 89 0
OW 52 651 118 319 261 105 8 0
VODI 0 483 146 497 364 182 61 0
ODI 0 219 60 428 403 279 106 0
CDI 0 186 60 222 604 765 469 18
VCDI 0 141 90 444 1051 7212 29516 57363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65336 17458 465 777 317 159 58 0
OW 52 436 196 368 278 103 4 0
VODI 0 195 86 508 550 239 19 0
ODI 0 81 54 214 564 435 62 0
CDI 0 38 55 256 713 1215 406 0
VCDI 0 25 21 157 724 6242 29182 59000
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64238 18267 762 755 330 146 27 0
OW 52 511 162 373 241 130 10 0
VODI 0 246 105 428 553 253 16 0
ODI 0 105 44 232 516 379 62 0
CDI 0 53 56 225 692 1292 448 8
VCDI 0 20 30 142 544 4770 24900 64925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65360 17049 492 766 468 207 56 0
OW 52 424 175 337 245 172 32 0
VODI 0 183 95 450 463 295 71 0
ODI 0 90 47 180 454 520 133 0
CDI 0 31 49 202 595 1451 605 18
VCDI 0 23 22 90 338 4378 24524 65906
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65778 16634 456 674 301 126 36 0
OW 87 435 168 418 297 110 23 0
VODI 0 138 116 473 537 318 18 0
ODI 0 40 47 202 624 616 53 0
CDI 0 13 15 73 482 1978 528 0
VCDI 0 19 31 104 279 4033 25344 65424
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64956 17055 773 735 440 177 23 0
OW 53 462 135 387 281 150 8 0
VODI 0 209 122 351 450 352 20 0
ODI 0 54 57 174 409 395 64 0
CDI 0 14 16 116 561 1087 436 7
VCDI 0 2 6 73 553 4516 29070 62299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65215 16887 487 713 375 212 15 0
OW 54 384 206 448 247 124 15 0
VODI 0 156 78 417 458 276 64 0
ODI 0 47 34 172 341 388 92 0
CDI 0 27 16 120 384 666 412 1
VCDI 0 18 12 81 713 4736 32416 59541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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