Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66003 16551 463 653 387 99 82 0
OW 53 482 138 337 216 85 26 0
VODI 0 254 90 337 411 191 72 0
ODI 0 140 49 177 423 312 143 0
CDI 0 88 47 164 470 542 327 0
VCDI 0 82 46 160 581 3826 10264 4329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66473 16352 329 573 257 134 73 0
OW 53 605 148 256 160 104 30 0
VODI 0 408 138 384 230 178 70 0
ODI 0 184 90 319 288 251 132 0
CDI 0 139 51 206 315 446 349 0
VCDI 0 122 60 238 723 3994 9733 4505
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65371 16924 450 671 414 191 79 0
OW 52 464 185 400 243 86 5 0
VODI 0 229 103 436 519 203 32 0
ODI 0 57 54 219 550 301 109 0
CDI 0 47 22 128 467 799 348 0
VCDI 0 41 20 78 440 3240 10315 4808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65977 16663 341 648 261 226 58 0
OW 52 863 136 366 156 66 12 0
VODI 0 454 133 402 325 141 58 0
ODI 0 183 65 211 491 205 99 0
CDI 0 111 42 132 423 363 317 0
VCDI 0 79 57 253 902 3413 8740 5676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65977 16767 357 716 286 229 56 0
OW 52 839 134 333 139 63 18 0
VODI 0 399 126 388 343 142 55 0
ODI 0 165 58 183 522 194 88 0
CDI 0 103 40 132 370 353 304 0
VCDI 0 80 59 260 898 3433 8763 5676

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66566 16067 403 565 224 149 40 0
OW 52 682 100 359 174 81 10 0
VODI 0 454 175 433 329 149 61 0
ODI 0 162 62 326 439 225 104 0
CDI 0 97 44 183 523 534 320 0
VCDI 0 44 39 281 828 3788 10235 3793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66566 16053 407 614 227 155 42 0
OW 52 716 107 339 181 78 12 0
VODI 0 449 154 452 371 151 65 0
ODI 0 143 83 283 463 241 97 0
CDI 0 95 34 186 452 507 287 0
VCDI 0 50 38 273 823 3794 10267 3793

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65235 17077 463 678 288 133 81 0
OW 52 600 206 394 217 66 3 0
VODI 0 164 149 583 514 185 16 0
ODI 0 30 41 254 714 378 70 0
CDI 0 9 23 186 627 1114 330 0
VCDI 0 13 9 64 441 3550 10091 4052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65235 16753 448 782 409 171 81 0
OW 52 565 154 319 287 120 6 0
VODI 0 356 127 399 450 230 47 0
ODI 0 124 68 209 514 306 66 0
CDI 0 58 47 216 444 663 223 0
VCDI 0 37 47 234 697 3936 10168 4052

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65759 16882 426 716 293 152 47 0
OW 52 447 174 372 211 125 9 0
VODI 0 178 135 501 462 261 23 0
ODI 0 56 39 281 373 427 68 0
CDI 0 23 29 233 604 1244 339 0
VCDI 0 16 22 60 314 3686 9625 4436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65758 16335 407 843 403 215 52 0
OW 53 599 130 232 252 153 16 0
VODI 0 354 112 353 318 276 45 0
ODI 0 144 63 273 297 394 72 0
CDI 0 113 68 250 494 1118 277 0
VCDI 0 57 45 212 493 3739 9649 4436

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65416 16940 471 832 402 142 55 0
OW 52 419 139 337 239 153 15 0
VODI 0 165 98 392 565 243 38 0
ODI 0 68 31 178 484 500 69 0
CDI 0 33 43 191 581 1390 485 0
VCDI 0 25 16 79 325 3002 10331 4156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65415 16536 428 881 525 217 57 0
OW 53 558 116 281 291 149 31 0
VODI 0 275 104 261 426 321 37 0
ODI 0 128 53 145 306 475 103 0
CDI 0 92 61 248 425 1036 370 0
VCDI 0 61 36 193 623 3232 10395 4156


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