Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 276 7 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 13 11 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 5 18 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 4 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 29 57 51 34 41 0
VCDI 0 2 3 115 331 943 9743 20219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 294 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 7 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 5 19 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 2 5 9 11 0 0
CDI 0 74 11 16 24 48 12 0
VCDI 0 140 75 119 265 1287 9802 19654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 382 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 10 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 7 20 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 64 21 25 48 16 1 0
CDI 0 56 19 42 119 146 108 25
VCDI 0 157 32 103 233 1842 13373 15012
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 364 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 9 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 5 12 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 113 9 22 15 14 7 0
CDI 0 68 23 39 55 129 123 12
VCDI 0 130 41 109 256 1535 13462 15349
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 368 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 10 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 4 6 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 104 6 18 15 15 9 0
CDI 0 78 22 33 42 117 111 6
VCDI 0 146 45 122 270 1546 13472 15355

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 310 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 7 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 9 13 4 3 1 0
ODI 0 114 8 10 21 7 6 0
CDI 0 140 18 20 55 106 38 3
VCDI 0 186 48 172 279 2295 9991 18014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 7 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 8 7 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 114 8 13 19 8 4 0
CDI 0 130 12 20 52 99 39 4
VCDI 0 224 55 174 288 2302 9993 18013

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 321 18 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 9 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 6 17 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 15 17 73 13 0 0
CDI 0 16 19 50 113 150 81 2
VCDI 0 1 12 60 107 1549 8717 20545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 12 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 12 2 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 4 16 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 3 25 4 3 0
CDI 0 69 5 9 53 95 116 14
VCDI 0 67 45 121 236 1613 8679 20533

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 287 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 4 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 6 14 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 35 6 7 35 15 0 0
CDI 0 29 17 19 81 70 3 0
VCDI 0 5 21 93 133 689 7524 22866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 2 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 9 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 2 8 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 39 1 4 5 25 42 2
VCDI 0 81 42 113 238 750 7485 22864

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 13 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 7 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 3 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 9 14 17 2 0 0
CDI 0 16 13 18 15 58 37 0
VCDI 0 8 5 46 168 626 6073 24549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 8 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 11 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 4 14 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 0 4 16 3 0 0
CDI 0 38 6 9 4 27 6 0
VCDI 0 30 21 64 179 656 6104 24549


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