Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 15 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 4 5 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 3 6 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 164 1 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 97 26 26 19 17 8 0
VCDI 0 67 41 165 254 1293 8851 20533
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 281 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 6 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 4 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 164 1 0 1 4 0 0
CDI 0 173 23 21 11 61 5 16
VCDI 0 185 84 199 271 1054 9154 20081
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 358 9 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 4 13 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 27 56 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 16 32 43 6 0 0
CDI 0 25 18 31 55 50 62 23
VCDI 0 30 30 133 421 1164 9509 19684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 292 7 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 7 8 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 7 13 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 5 6 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 52 25 48 88 43 52 9
VCDI 0 21 30 82 333 998 9558 20236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 289 8 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 5 8 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 8 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 5 6 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 55 25 48 85 47 62 10
VCDI 0 21 30 82 337 994 9548 20235

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 269 10 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 10 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 7 14 15 3 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 3 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 62 20 19 26 49 22 0
VCDI 0 41 38 141 297 1069 9461 20347
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 278 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 14 10 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 3 14 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 41 0 3 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 59 20 18 18 43 21 0
VCDI 0 41 38 142 304 1075 9462 20347

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 405 6 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 110 11 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 10 14 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 18 24 27 9 0 0
CDI 0 50 19 50 93 95 35 0
VCDI 0 138 30 74 249 1645 10068 18726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 193 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 8 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 351 37 58 123 631 3511 6416
CDI 0 56 8 11 25 20 3 0
VCDI 0 175 39 95 223 1098 6589 12310

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 357 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 11 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 2 18 6 1 0 0
ODI 0 107 23 29 32 13 7 0
CDI 0 60 22 45 114 152 165 37
VCDI 0 132 33 108 264 1683 13674 14837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 1 0 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 257 19 47 105 480 4364 5087
CDI 0 36 9 11 20 18 9 0
VCDI 0 297 61 139 287 1351 9473 9787

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 365 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 7 9 3 2 1 0
ODI 0 122 7 17 19 9 1 0
CDI 0 93 19 39 55 132 84 9
VCDI 0 216 45 148 273 2179 12186 15815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 2 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 296 23 45 62 565 3939 5429
CDI 0 51 4 8 8 24 8 0
VCDI 0 452 52 158 280 1733 8325 10395


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