Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64878 17997 537 781 246 200 48 0
OW 61 403 182 374 219 59 3 0
VODI 0 261 75 308 410 127 17 0
ODI 0 174 32 151 388 272 50 0
CDI 0 161 48 166 544 842 183 0
VCDI 0 252 94 330 650 3322 9725 4530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64980 17823 581 690 318 125 76 0
OW 63 402 192 426 172 66 13 0
VODI 0 223 110 388 360 156 31 0
ODI 0 136 55 203 326 281 41 0
CDI 0 103 43 169 445 781 163 6
VCDI 0 130 87 500 538 3129 9357 5412
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65134 18126 463 681 180 91 102 0
OW 60 534 215 495 178 33 11 0
VODI 0 215 116 454 411 126 21 0
ODI 0 82 45 194 505 302 31 0
CDI 0 38 28 173 476 929 216 0
VCDI 0 30 26 142 416 2941 9898 4982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65900 17523 331 462 179 91 68 0
OW 60 770 171 345 152 45 5 0
VODI 0 508 154 347 314 172 14 0
ODI 0 200 75 240 304 241 42 0
CDI 0 169 79 218 290 396 208 0
VCDI 0 145 87 368 758 3502 10724 3443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65900 17621 360 512 195 95 69 0
OW 60 668 147 328 153 55 4 0
VODI 0 507 144 315 285 162 15 0
ODI 0 203 81 237 314 232 43 0
CDI 0 159 76 217 294 399 223 0
VCDI 0 157 89 371 756 3504 10707 3443

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66159 17000 423 536 203 74 38 0
OW 54 721 146 352 181 71 8 0
VODI 0 516 135 368 348 161 12 0
ODI 0 200 52 191 341 247 46 0
CDI 0 125 74 161 319 387 244 0
VCDI 0 160 89 399 838 3376 9804 4541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66159 16997 445 578 216 78 38 0
OW 54 707 117 319 201 78 6 0
VODI 0 508 134 328 301 154 13 0
ODI 0 230 63 220 347 235 36 0
CDI 0 116 67 175 346 421 287 0
VCDI 0 164 93 387 819 3350 9772 4541

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64563 18416 480 585 148 47 25 0
OW 52 452 207 519 162 23 7 0
VODI 0 191 123 556 508 68 9 0
ODI 0 50 63 301 746 323 58 0
CDI 0 28 11 100 672 932 334 0
VCDI 0 42 26 82 579 3640 10612 3360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64562 18016 461 615 244 61 27 0
OW 53 531 148 391 249 44 10 0
VODI 0 354 141 409 408 108 18 0
ODI 0 120 70 344 519 275 86 0
CDI 0 59 37 185 503 569 270 0
VCDI 0 99 53 199 892 3976 10634 3360

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65032 17919 485 581 243 57 45 0
OW 53 352 176 393 206 62 13 0
VODI 0 164 66 404 497 156 23 0
ODI 0 111 39 147 486 264 94 0
CDI 0 50 35 126 553 693 337 0
VCDI 0 60 34 154 883 4171 10165 3771
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65031 17438 402 522 241 60 48 0
OW 54 478 169 314 233 70 13 0
VODI 0 320 106 380 386 170 38 0
ODI 0 154 46 188 400 264 105 0
CDI 0 100 50 165 563 676 345 0
VCDI 0 166 62 236 1045 4163 10128 3771

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66003 16551 463 653 387 99 82 0
OW 53 482 138 337 216 85 26 0
VODI 0 254 90 337 411 191 72 0
ODI 0 140 49 177 423 312 143 0
CDI 0 88 47 164 470 542 327 0
VCDI 0 82 46 160 581 3826 10264 4329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65984 16131 408 586 381 115 89 0
OW 72 511 136 294 205 106 36 0
VODI 0 377 95 337 301 173 88 0
ODI 0 205 67 191 354 189 152 0
CDI 0 177 51 174 485 532 377 0
VCDI 0 196 76 246 762 3940 10172 4329


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