Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 239 34 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 4 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 0 1 9 26 1 0
CDI 0 176 33 34 40 124 44 0
VCDI 0 51 32 168 443 1808 7810 20794
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 173 22 47 40 0 0 0
OW 0 39 1 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 4 4 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 8 7 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 91 6 6 42 80 12 0
VCDI 0 101 34 116 427 1955 7745 21033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 219 24 37 29 0 0 0
OW 0 41 5 13 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 97 7 24 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 77 27 41 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 9 53 40 8 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 230 1502 6958 22554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 263 16 11 6 0 0 0
OW 0 55 9 17 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 0 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 159 11 4 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 39 15 48 18 0 2 0
VCDI 0 14 17 77 232 1291 7808 21873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 268 18 13 7 0 0 0
OW 0 64 5 17 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 2 11 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 147 14 9 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 31 12 37 18 0 3 0
VCDI 0 10 17 83 232 1291 7807 21873

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 298 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 7 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 5 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 162 1 1 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 143 22 21 41 52 3 8
VCDI 0 130 75 188 263 1224 8843 20345
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 91 6 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 5 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 158 2 1 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 123 22 15 43 50 3 6
VCDI 0 150 74 194 260 1226 8843 20347

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 473 15 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 141 33 37 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 9 63 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 9 47 16 9 0 0
CDI 0 39 11 40 31 69 39 8
VCDI 0 60 54 192 242 1008 10565 18739
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 255 10 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 7 6 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 5 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 164 11 4 0 11 0 0
CDI 0 76 20 74 18 43 38 9
VCDI 0 179 78 291 272 1032 10566 18738

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 12 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 4 12 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 3 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 107 20 31 36 2 0 0
CDI 0 24 23 43 70 49 49 6
VCDI 0 26 27 65 393 1035 9379 20222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 216 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 6 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 6 12 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 0 0 4 3 1 0
CDI 0 112 11 5 10 54 61 1
VCDI 0 69 60 134 485 1029 9366 20227

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 276 7 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 13 11 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 5 18 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 4 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 29 57 51 34 41 0
VCDI 0 2 3 115 331 943 9743 20219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 205 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 7 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 11 21 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 3 2 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 42 3 8 5 17 7 0
VCDI 0 33 33 172 380 960 9777 20219


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