Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64878 18236 571 810 246 200 48 0
OW 61 456 184 374 219 59 3 0
VODI 0 321 79 308 410 127 17 0
ODI 0 241 32 152 397 298 53 0
CDI 0 337 81 200 585 995 254 0
VCDI 0 303 126 498 1170 6672 26980 60067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64980 17996 603 737 358 125 76 0
OW 63 441 193 426 175 66 13 0
VODI 0 264 114 392 361 156 31 0
ODI 0 178 63 210 328 281 41 0
CDI 0 194 49 175 505 894 196 6
VCDI 0 231 121 616 1061 6505 27654 60170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65134 18345 487 718 209 91 102 0
OW 60 575 220 508 192 34 11 0
VODI 0 312 123 478 420 126 21 0
ODI 0 159 72 235 507 302 31 0
CDI 0 42 39 235 524 941 216 0
VCDI 0 30 26 230 744 5426 28264 60859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65900 17786 347 473 185 91 68 0
OW 60 825 180 362 154 45 5 0
VODI 0 590 154 360 314 172 14 0
ODI 0 359 86 244 304 241 42 0
CDI 0 208 94 266 308 432 265 2
VCDI 0 159 104 445 1064 5821 32853 55666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65900 17889 378 525 202 95 69 0
OW 60 732 152 345 154 55 4 0
VODI 0 599 146 326 285 162 15 0
ODI 0 350 95 246 314 232 43 0
CDI 0 190 88 254 312 434 259 0
VCDI 0 167 106 454 1062 5824 32857 55668

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66159 17298 428 537 203 74 38 0
OW 54 830 153 358 181 71 8 0
VODI 0 640 140 373 348 161 12 0
ODI 0 362 53 192 341 247 46 0
CDI 0 268 96 182 360 440 248 8
VCDI 0 290 164 587 1120 5132 27771 61075
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66159 17313 451 580 216 78 38 0
OW 54 798 123 326 201 78 6 0
VODI 0 636 139 331 301 154 13 0
ODI 0 388 65 221 348 235 36 0
CDI 0 239 89 190 389 472 291 6
VCDI 0 314 167 581 1098 5108 27739 61077

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64563 18889 495 590 148 47 25 0
OW 52 593 240 556 164 23 7 0
VODI 0 282 132 619 509 68 9 0
ODI 0 84 72 348 762 332 58 0
CDI 0 67 22 140 711 1027 387 8
VCDI 0 102 80 298 884 5365 30043 58247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64562 18271 471 617 244 61 27 0
OW 53 600 155 397 251 44 10 0
VODI 0 449 146 416 408 108 18 0
ODI 0 284 81 348 519 286 86 0
CDI 0 135 57 260 529 645 327 9
VCDI 0 278 131 513 1227 5718 30061 58246

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65032 18235 497 588 243 57 45 0
OW 53 401 180 405 210 62 13 0
VODI 0 225 69 411 497 156 23 0
ODI 0 218 59 178 524 267 109 0
CDI 0 75 59 171 633 800 431 7
VCDI 0 95 74 267 1413 6234 32516 55516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65031 17654 408 526 241 60 48 0
OW 54 546 175 324 234 70 13 0
VODI 0 385 112 392 389 170 40 0
ODI 0 207 46 188 405 267 118 0
CDI 0 214 62 173 593 808 448 3
VCDI 0 243 135 417 1658 6201 32470 55520

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66003 16827 470 657 387 99 82 0
OW 53 532 151 348 221 85 26 0
VODI 0 291 95 355 421 191 72 0
ODI 0 177 53 181 429 312 150 0
CDI 0 118 76 221 539 617 405 0
VCDI 0 84 49 306 1034 5618 32302 57011
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65984 16336 412 589 381 115 89 0
OW 72 569 143 297 205 106 36 0
VODI 0 433 106 358 316 173 94 0
ODI 0 243 70 193 357 189 162 0
CDI 0 219 54 182 511 604 435 11
VCDI 0 229 109 449 1261 5735 32221 57000


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