Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 145 112 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 37 87 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 245 14 32 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 149 12 43 42 24 2 0
CDI 0 114 24 59 89 116 29 0
VCDI 0 420 132 345 743 2233 7100 19722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84 182 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 28 79 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 235 10 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 200 21 47 34 46 1 0
CDI 0 128 17 54 90 165 68 20
VCDI 0 386 116 372 707 2323 7626 19035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 326 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 175 2 1 16 13 0 0
ODI 0 186 36 73 76 70 4 0
CDI 0 45 19 109 119 197 77 0
VCDI 0 38 32 205 548 2167 8312 19181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 259 27 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 115 10 2 9 7 4 0
CDI 0 117 21 92 79 184 72 0
VCDI 0 35 19 156 424 1982 7674 20665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 249 26 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 120 14 11 7 6 2 0
CDI 0 137 18 71 61 166 75 0
VCDI 0 19 18 168 444 2001 7673 20665

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 196 29 52 7 0 0 0
OW 0 52 0 1 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 3 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 7 5 12 8 0 0
CDI 0 167 12 8 60 90 24 0
VCDI 0 59 34 188 370 1856 8180 20551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 186 29 50 7 0 0 0
OW 0 52 0 3 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 3 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 7 6 10 7 0 0
CDI 0 169 25 23 56 85 19 0
VCDI 0 62 21 172 376 1862 8185 20551

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 25 42 33 3 0 0
OW 0 51 9 7 20 2 0 0
VODI 0 144 15 30 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 23 42 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 57 101 63 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 256 1702 7751 21432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 22 42 40 4 0 0
OW 0 36 4 3 17 1 0 0
VODI 0 40 1 5 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 4 10 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 82 11 14 16 21 21 0
VCDI 0 97 32 124 345 1744 7739 21432

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 250 19 28 5 0 0 0
OW 0 50 5 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 8 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 138 17 19 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 27 15 27 30 9 0 0
VCDI 0 4 10 56 223 1344 7130 22555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 21 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 49 4 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 4 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 2 5 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 60 5 5 6 3 0 0
VCDI 0 172 38 97 246 1350 7130 22555

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 15 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 4 5 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 3 6 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 164 1 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 97 26 26 19 17 8 0
VCDI 0 67 41 165 254 1293 8851 20533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 197 16 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 62 5 4 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 1 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 55 1 5 7 32 27 5
VCDI 0 405 67 186 266 1278 8832 20528


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