Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70717 15222 320 426 226 91 92 0
OW 60 503 119 177 182 74 10 0
VODI 0 203 130 208 215 155 30 0
ODI 0 45 47 209 202 200 41 0
CDI 0 17 19 145 277 464 88 0
VCDI 0 9 16 97 421 2815 12283 2545
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68116 16913 616 447 195 96 91 0
OW 63 724 140 252 123 53 5 0
VODI 0 297 101 238 194 144 12 0
ODI 0 103 84 167 213 138 18 0
CDI 0 35 53 188 296 369 37 0
VCDI 0 3 18 248 724 3942 11338 2306
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69471 16033 445 475 199 149 28 0
OW 61 440 174 298 174 46 1 0
VODI 0 207 79 328 285 100 8 0
ODI 0 96 42 183 240 152 12 0
CDI 0 49 42 140 254 414 35 0
VCDI 0 16 37 246 597 3805 10371 3368
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70804 14545 310 377 174 117 41 0
OW 61 707 131 197 91 43 7 0
VODI 0 388 116 260 196 75 19 0
ODI 0 169 62 190 214 111 19 0
CDI 0 138 52 150 241 319 36 0
VCDI 0 107 79 295 653 3426 10178 4002
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70804 14530 316 413 182 117 42 0
OW 61 715 134 161 92 39 6 0
VODI 0 394 119 286 183 79 19 0
ODI 0 162 50 176 244 113 22 0
CDI 0 132 51 144 219 313 39 0
VCDI 0 121 80 289 649 3430 10172 4002

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69086 16149 341 354 169 127 54 0
OW 61 580 125 252 104 50 15 0
VODI 0 327 86 309 183 117 18 0
ODI 0 151 66 131 240 158 25 0
CDI 0 111 34 119 273 419 84 0
VCDI 0 155 62 203 424 2828 10874 4236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69086 16156 348 390 182 131 55 0
OW 61 549 127 244 103 52 16 0
VODI 0 324 69 275 188 114 20 0
ODI 0 149 76 152 227 157 23 0
CDI 0 104 30 109 279 389 83 0
VCDI 0 191 64 198 414 2856 10873 4236

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69731 15166 346 409 188 175 61 0
OW 61 592 168 321 152 47 14 0
VODI 0 200 102 368 318 135 40 0
ODI 0 103 26 176 318 204 75 0
CDI 0 93 24 95 241 735 205 0
VCDI 0 68 42 158 352 2268 10307 5016
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69731 14751 374 465 247 232 84 0
OW 61 523 137 295 144 82 45 0
VODI 0 292 60 307 303 133 81 0
ODI 0 159 42 142 207 201 76 0
CDI 0 135 24 82 189 442 183 0
VCDI 0 362 71 236 479 2474 10233 5016

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65738 18510 638 408 191 153 47 0
OW 61 582 128 292 122 36 6 0
VODI 0 352 102 331 354 87 30 0
ODI 0 172 40 143 357 213 41 0
CDI 0 124 36 148 403 437 114 0
VCDI 0 69 46 158 575 3041 10639 4176
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65738 18097 616 394 247 208 62 0
OW 61 580 115 266 102 73 30 0
VODI 0 426 107 282 350 142 37 0
ODI 0 198 39 140 366 235 28 0
CDI 0 166 45 137 343 385 81 0
VCDI 0 342 68 261 594 2924 10639 4176

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67493 16868 390 506 174 114 62 0
OW 61 596 91 304 141 47 18 0
VODI 0 363 84 263 371 137 19 0
ODI 0 225 44 160 351 196 60 0
CDI 0 205 55 110 400 378 76 0
VCDI 0 154 83 271 588 4016 9855 3771
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67493 16376 358 532 240 177 73 0
OW 61 618 94 254 161 82 41 0
VODI 0 425 95 225 318 110 54 0
ODI 0 222 46 193 334 200 51 0
CDI 0 250 19 89 319 443 83 0
VCDI 0 520 135 321 653 3876 9788 3771


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