Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70974 15428 493 307 135 110 115 0
OW 127 594 114 247 158 38 15 0
VODI 1 388 98 193 253 118 29 0
ODI 1 190 71 152 215 151 18 0
CDI 0 90 65 163 321 267 56 0
VCDI 0 10 25 174 464 2984 11274 2474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67939 17667 540 451 298 109 83 0
OW 54 521 141 183 214 83 10 0
VODI 0 289 91 210 279 189 18 0
ODI 0 122 47 152 250 213 16 0
CDI 0 60 43 155 303 423 119 0
VCDI 0 6 12 135 385 2817 10619 3854
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70049 16346 443 380 196 48 104 0
OW 75 359 132 239 162 60 8 0
VODI 0 138 118 257 256 140 10 0
ODI 0 20 35 180 260 234 10 0
CDI 0 3 8 118 355 446 59 0
VCDI 0 0 1 54 370 3153 9738 4536
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70560 15621 321 413 231 75 34 0
OW 60 384 137 226 195 52 8 0
VODI 0 162 103 224 257 153 15 0
ODI 0 60 35 140 237 222 30 0
CDI 0 24 19 110 318 494 66 0
VCDI 0 3 10 102 383 3159 11338 3119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70544 15658 333 415 229 77 34 0
OW 76 349 136 224 188 54 7 0
VODI 0 164 90 229 255 158 15 0
ODI 0 54 36 130 245 208 32 0
CDI 0 26 19 109 329 517 72 0
VCDI 0 3 11 108 375 3141 11331 3119

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69976 15588 352 466 296 105 105 0
OW 61 550 108 211 209 38 9 0
VODI 1 278 96 218 204 138 13 0
ODI 0 77 69 200 193 177 22 0
CDI 0 22 45 171 268 418 35 0
VCDI 0 3 7 138 574 4103 11333 2223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69976 15604 350 449 301 99 103 0
OW 61 553 120 220 209 40 11 0
VODI 1 255 92 237 205 129 13 0
ODI 0 82 69 205 200 186 21 0
CDI 0 19 39 172 255 405 40 0
VCDI 0 5 7 121 574 4120 11329 2223

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69347 16425 374 465 183 99 103 0
OW 61 449 185 298 137 49 2 0
VODI 0 151 105 392 266 76 11 0
ODI 0 38 43 167 299 166 15 0
CDI 0 22 20 133 273 708 53 0
VCDI 0 0 8 120 498 3198 10430 3731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69341 15700 358 449 242 142 104 0
OW 66 787 107 254 127 56 8 0
VODI 1 391 122 212 168 129 19 0
ODI 0 120 74 207 196 150 10 0
CDI 0 66 43 185 293 435 30 0
VCDI 0 21 31 268 630 3384 10443 3731

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70205 15050 394 448 191 110 48 0
OW 61 531 178 275 153 51 1 0
VODI 0 271 103 298 291 122 4 0
ODI 0 137 45 156 250 159 20 0
CDI 0 103 36 134 255 341 49 0
VCDI 0 65 67 307 608 3992 10037 3554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70203 14602 336 430 252 146 48 0
OW 63 787 213 254 122 70 5 0
VODI 0 352 100 309 284 131 18 0
ODI 0 154 52 146 214 172 29 0
CDI 0 134 29 115 232 343 68 0
VCDI 0 128 93 364 644 3913 9991 3554

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70425 14991 320 387 167 126 47 0
OW 61 594 125 186 122 49 16 0
VODI 0 375 123 268 168 96 23 0
ODI 0 187 43 128 200 151 22 0
CDI 0 137 62 100 214 379 49 0
VCDI 0 168 77 279 482 3061 10877 3815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70421 13998 289 371 202 157 67 0
OW 65 872 91 120 82 67 19 0
VODI 0 840 160 240 136 94 32 0
ODI 0 310 78 207 181 146 19 0
CDI 0 184 43 118 221 327 42 0
VCDI 0 248 89 292 531 3071 10855 3815


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