Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 4 6 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 8 10 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 13 15 11 10 0 0
CDI 0 21 11 34 56 72 59 4
VCDI 0 104 30 82 145 1140 8646 21254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 3 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 8 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 9 12 30 4 0 0
CDI 0 31 15 35 79 88 66 0
VCDI 0 88 35 132 299 1890 8281 20653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 7 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 5 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 11 22 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 12 22 13 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 20 30 14 23 1
VCDI 0 0 1 48 183 1356 5994 24029
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 20 20 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 4 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 14 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 17 12 2 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 20 38 22 31 48
VCDI 0 0 0 5 67 798 7734 23020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 20 20 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 4 8 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 13 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 15 12 2 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 22 38 24 31 39
VCDI 0 0 0 6 67 796 7734 23029

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 30 63 12 0 0 0
OW 0 10 5 15 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 2 11 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 7 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 12 18 14 44 7
VCDI 0 0 1 5 44 213 6838 24625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 30 64 12 0 0 0
OW 0 10 5 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 13 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 5 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 15 18 19 51 10
VCDI 0 0 0 2 44 208 6831 24622

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 19 38 72 0 0 0
OW 0 9 8 11 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 4 7 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 6 12 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 21 36 6 3
VCDI 0 0 0 4 46 394 5966 25349
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 15 32 66 0 0 0
OW 0 15 5 6 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 9 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 7 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 13 20 19 6 9
VCDI 0 0 0 9 55 412 5966 25343

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 20 29 61 9 0 0
OW 0 15 3 8 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 2 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 3 3 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 11 5 13 17 16 4 6
VCDI 0 12 12 30 74 362 5993 25302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 15 22 53 9 0 0
OW 0 11 7 12 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 5 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 2 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 16 3 11 11 9 7 23
VCDI 0 12 15 33 77 370 5990 25285

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 8 30 27 10 0 0
OW 0 24 7 6 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 8 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 4 0 7 3 0
CDI 0 22 1 0 2 50 103 11
VCDI 0 104 10 47 67 617 8664 22154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 6 29 25 10 0 0
OW 0 26 8 4 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 7 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 5 0 3 0 0
CDI 0 19 3 4 9 37 4 2
VCDI 0 114 10 43 60 634 8766 22163


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