Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 315 13 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 431 50 60 39 11 0 0
VODI 0 151 61 159 190 71 3 0
ODI 0 7 17 90 280 168 12 0
CDI 0 5 13 18 201 462 71 0
VCDI 0 10 10 30 190 3004 13970 25730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 80 17 28 22 0 0 0
OW 0 284 56 107 33 5 0 0
VODI 0 227 73 124 120 66 0 0
ODI 0 32 19 82 271 120 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 243 373 77 0
VCDI 0 0 6 22 208 2239 13831 27062
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 2 2 6 0 0 0
OW 0 163 21 27 60 9 0 0
VODI 0 55 24 132 138 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 116 119 99 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 37 157 671 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 361 3142 14981 25344
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 11 12 28 2 0 0
VODI 0 20 17 86 154 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 111 241 72 3 0
CDI 0 0 2 76 225 374 34 0
VCDI 0 1 2 127 320 3863 16987 23042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 11 11 22 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 14 82 132 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 103 244 63 4 0
CDI 0 0 2 77 233 465 47 0
VCDI 0 1 2 136 337 3782 16973 23042

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 28 40 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 152 140 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 141 427 26 0
VCDI 0 5 6 70 464 3152 14465 26717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 42 40 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 116 133 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 155 446 26 1
VCDI 0 5 6 72 473 3141 14467 26716

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 53 34 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 109 515 67 0
VCDI 0 7 9 67 533 3193 16937 24315
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 26 17 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 21 66 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 84 346 63 0
VCDI 0 7 9 67 569 3313 16911 24315

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 40 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 37 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 39 206 72 5
VCDI 0 8 6 36 401 2992 16757 25234
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 49 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 48 26 0
CDI 0 1 1 2 24 240 84 0
VCDI 0 7 5 36 416 2938 16732 25239

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 33 27 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 42 40 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 233 164 27 0
VCDI 0 5 8 51 722 2909 15598 25959
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 31 27 9 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 20 54 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 63 64 16 1
CDI 0 0 0 15 188 287 188 6
VCDI 0 5 8 62 725 2702 15422 25952


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