Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 319 2206 193 331 223 13 0 0
OW 0 406 147 223 363 71 0 0
VODI 0 184 76 201 466 243 1 0
ODI 0 36 26 112 324 313 3 0
CDI 0 73 17 73 307 731 50 0
VCDI 0 25 16 77 558 3142 8246 26071
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 266 1917 99 145 181 122 0 0
OW 1 366 117 234 277 268 2 0
VODI 0 113 79 168 215 477 12 0
ODI 0 76 39 100 196 426 34 0
CDI 0 8 14 86 147 535 177 0
VCDI 0 29 17 87 351 2990 8320 27175
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127 1184 53 107 62 0 0 0
OW 1 356 57 141 120 12 0 0
VODI 0 104 89 296 377 104 0 0
ODI 0 14 12 94 323 622 45 0
CDI 0 2 6 28 137 1168 338 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 139 2444 10178 27119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 828 24 50 55 0 0 0
OW 0 449 64 132 92 39 0 0
VODI 0 184 30 143 195 94 0 0
ODI 0 20 6 113 348 224 7 0
CDI 0 0 3 59 287 938 105 1
VCDI 0 1 3 1 81 3056 10813 27421
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 875 36 68 53 0 0 0
OW 0 384 50 119 109 26 0 0
VODI 0 197 26 130 191 93 0 0
ODI 0 24 12 117 318 207 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 60 304 820 74 1
VCDI 0 1 3 4 83 3205 10851 27421

Date: 2023-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 647 44 69 26 9 0 0
OW 31 428 62 118 97 32 0 0
VODI 0 153 51 180 186 73 13 0
ODI 0 18 4 99 441 143 42 0
CDI 0 6 6 93 598 437 65 3
VCDI 0 2 2 36 336 2263 11004 28016
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 687 43 75 31 2 0 0
OW 31 379 63 104 93 37 0 0
VODI 0 160 50 169 184 78 3 0
ODI 0 19 4 115 446 130 48 0
CDI 0 7 9 100 606 437 103 4
VCDI 0 2 0 32 324 2273 10970 28015

Date: 2023-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 854 78 56 6 0 0 0
OW 0 180 47 95 53 7 0 0
VODI 0 105 66 303 186 29 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 71 438 137 10 0
CDI 0 8 6 17 472 681 127 0
VCDI 0 10 8 50 147 2318 15196 24086
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 643 83 65 31 5 0 0
OW 0 292 63 123 57 40 0 0
VODI 0 189 42 230 139 78 29 0
ODI 0 28 5 100 363 172 69 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 472 560 324 0
VCDI 0 18 17 66 240 2317 14911 24086

Date: 2023-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 554 59 50 9 3 0 0
OW 0 236 56 99 62 24 1 0
VODI 0 100 43 219 256 78 7 0
ODI 0 11 3 52 276 142 13 0
CDI 0 8 4 22 227 707 155 4
VCDI 0 24 9 24 239 2971 11676 27443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 380 48 59 24 25 2 0
OW 0 239 52 83 66 39 12 0
VODI 0 246 51 169 193 64 31 0
ODI 0 36 8 103 208 192 61 0
CDI 0 1 4 22 241 456 243 10
VCDI 0 31 11 30 337 3149 11503 27437

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 315 13 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 431 50 60 39 11 0 0
VODI 0 151 61 159 190 71 3 0
ODI 0 7 17 90 280 168 12 0
CDI 0 5 13 18 201 462 71 0
VCDI 0 10 10 30 190 3004 13970 25730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 124 2 5 2 0 0 0
OW 0 367 39 78 27 43 0 0
VODI 0 316 60 121 153 64 26 0
ODI 0 94 45 128 207 167 40 0
CDI 0 6 4 16 248 330 141 6
VCDI 0 12 14 33 263 3112 13849 25724


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