Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1588 65 50 26 10 0 0
OW 0 210 54 89 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 123 35 80 50 6 0 0
ODI 0 46 28 35 46 13 4 0
CDI 0 26 18 47 78 63 46 0
VCDI 0 21 26 83 141 843 10715 17397
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1457 55 50 9 3 0 0
OW 0 233 51 89 14 4 0 0
VODI 0 118 37 117 134 6 0 0
ODI 0 50 16 55 88 18 1 0
CDI 0 39 16 41 90 77 50 0
VCDI 0 64 45 97 138 675 10226 17918
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1450 79 155 55 6 0 0
OW 0 156 57 59 26 11 0 0
VODI 0 75 41 107 129 17 5 0
ODI 0 31 17 57 129 115 11 0
CDI 0 14 16 35 139 214 68 10
VCDI 0 36 24 62 171 1373 10961 16169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1147 74 107 169 21 0 0
OW 0 227 55 51 8 9 0 0
VODI 0 126 59 121 110 19 0 0
ODI 0 14 19 69 124 134 10 0
CDI 0 7 7 36 127 338 76 0
VCDI 0 4 12 40 135 1839 15601 11187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1142 79 117 170 22 0 0
OW 0 207 43 43 10 10 0 0
VODI 0 147 55 95 92 25 0 0
ODI 0 18 30 84 114 109 8 0
CDI 0 6 6 42 149 286 67 0
VCDI 0 5 13 43 138 1908 15612 11187

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1026 54 83 59 4 0 0
OW 0 193 27 46 21 28 5 0
VODI 0 96 63 115 67 21 5 0
ODI 0 34 18 77 164 121 5 0
CDI 0 3 3 36 113 182 42 4
VCDI 0 0 1 22 74 1234 9238 18798
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1025 60 90 60 6 0 0
OW 0 161 15 35 17 23 7 0
VODI 0 107 51 91 46 28 3 0
ODI 0 47 29 84 149 81 3 0
CDI 0 12 10 55 129 176 14 4
VCDI 0 0 1 24 97 1276 9268 18798

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 803 64 118 70 26 1 0
OW 0 113 31 35 29 8 3 0
VODI 0 59 41 110 66 44 10 0
ODI 0 12 14 76 130 45 4 0
CDI 0 16 14 54 156 178 19 13
VCDI 0 0 2 22 142 866 8362 20325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 783 64 116 70 25 1 0
OW 0 120 28 33 30 10 5 0
VODI 0 66 40 94 56 46 7 0
ODI 0 17 16 90 127 46 5 0
CDI 0 14 12 61 174 193 17 8
VCDI 0 3 6 21 136 847 8364 20330

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 544 71 153 101 31 6 0
OW 0 57 26 70 40 32 1 0
VODI 0 25 14 79 98 33 8 0
ODI 0 15 14 46 96 78 28 0
CDI 0 6 6 45 140 205 39 0
VCDI 0 2 4 15 146 775 9779 19254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 538 67 155 98 31 6 0
OW 0 64 25 54 40 30 3 0
VODI 0 20 19 85 88 40 6 0
ODI 0 14 11 47 101 74 31 0
CDI 0 11 9 52 132 209 42 0
VCDI 0 2 4 15 162 770 9773 19254

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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