Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89132 6678 265 334 197 167 28 0
OW 11 42 48 114 125 31 21 0
VODI 0 18 20 114 156 55 21 0
ODI 0 1 5 54 231 74 38 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 139 232 135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 101 708 6625 3139
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88572 7052 244 328 274 124 13 0
OW 18 148 60 93 86 66 0 0
VODI 0 37 37 70 91 102 1 0
ODI 0 11 10 49 100 141 9 0
CDI 0 4 13 30 105 178 27 0
VCDI 0 0 1 35 94 1391 6781 2705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85695 9659 258 349 264 77 10 0
OW 29 123 54 107 114 71 1 0
VODI 0 43 41 83 91 103 1 0
ODI 0 5 13 73 75 127 8 0
CDI 0 0 6 42 82 337 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 60 1079 7467 2513
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87029 7829 223 399 253 184 16 0
OW 30 143 76 146 109 103 3 0
VODI 0 20 48 102 112 174 6 0
ODI 0 7 12 64 57 124 14 0
CDI 0 0 5 47 74 228 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 44 1043 7440 2861
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87028 7835 240 433 269 218 16 0
OW 31 133 54 111 103 100 5 0
VODI 0 24 51 106 102 142 7 0
ODI 0 7 13 56 62 133 15 0
CDI 0 0 6 49 69 213 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 44 1050 7445 2861

Date: 2023-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85190 9117 237 377 312 195 26 0
OW 33 306 119 128 79 106 13 0
VODI 0 67 47 150 108 184 25 0
ODI 0 2 7 61 61 152 35 0
CDI 0 0 1 45 63 237 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 55 1125 8003 2361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85189 9211 253 390 321 233 30 0
OW 34 217 98 129 82 92 15 0
VODI 0 61 51 127 93 179 22 0
ODI 0 3 9 69 61 133 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 69 235 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 52 1127 8006 2361

Date: 2023-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84523 9429 279 459 214 126 4 0
OW 34 216 93 198 52 27 2 0
VODI 0 49 60 191 182 78 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 105 206 237 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 124 404 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 47 912 7767 2963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84515 9366 269 431 300 188 6 0
OW 42 212 111 278 103 104 4 0
VODI 0 114 51 174 161 173 11 0
ODI 0 3 6 59 99 189 22 0
CDI 0 1 1 36 85 195 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 77 935 7731 2963

Date: 2023-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83577 9353 283 522 518 105 4 0
OW 40 217 58 132 328 17 3 0
VODI 0 70 61 126 264 57 4 0
ODI 0 9 20 99 213 146 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 167 387 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 74 1274 7878 3012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83577 9209 271 469 370 157 7 0
OW 40 369 87 210 423 90 3 0
VODI 0 59 41 137 380 212 12 0
ODI 0 12 18 55 239 208 35 0
CDI 0 0 6 43 85 226 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 67 1093 7816 3012

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82673 9683 305 705 366 158 12 0
OW 40 204 63 187 329 26 8 0
VODI 0 61 46 147 428 52 20 0
ODI 0 19 7 48 233 146 16 0
CDI 0 5 6 34 170 358 89 0
VCDI 0 0 2 9 105 1120 7947 3273
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82656 9385 271 506 434 204 25 0
OW 57 455 88 353 202 78 23 0
VODI 0 92 46 187 534 198 27 0
ODI 0 22 13 34 266 227 56 0
CDI 0 18 3 28 112 254 107 0
VCDI 0 0 8 22 83 899 7854 3273


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