Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1434 1758 3 1 0 0 0 0
OW 7 232 26 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 44 99 83 22 0 0
ODI 0 49 34 84 107 273 7 0
CDI 0 3 15 74 402 634 261 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 592 3458 10378 11843
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 694 2107 30 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 328 29 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 26 59 59 31 0 0
ODI 0 38 39 87 147 106 10 0
CDI 0 4 6 86 286 348 173 9
VCDI 0 0 0 7 148 4710 10733 11604
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 732 2300 16 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 176 30 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 48 94 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 17 60 101 63 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 35 131 255 183 2
VCDI 0 0 0 9 27 2917 14240 10533
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 398 2171 42 27 33 32 0 0
OW 0 232 36 89 40 8 0 0
VODI 0 151 22 35 97 5 0 0
ODI 0 48 27 44 65 75 4 0
CDI 0 16 10 49 111 325 126 0
VCDI 0 13 13 40 120 2380 16199 8999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 398 2166 45 45 34 34 0 0
OW 0 174 29 60 29 6 0 0
VODI 0 203 21 41 87 3 0 0
ODI 0 57 27 33 80 70 6 0
CDI 0 16 19 62 105 314 118 0
VCDI 0 15 9 43 131 2398 16205 8999

Date: 2023-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106 2237 34 50 43 15 0 0
OW 0 207 39 71 41 9 0 0
VODI 0 117 56 82 103 49 0 0
ODI 0 11 20 61 66 75 6 0
CDI 0 5 8 41 88 347 184 7
VCDI 0 9 7 21 94 1512 13635 12626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106 2222 32 67 49 19 0 0
OW 0 185 28 39 29 7 0 0
VODI 0 143 59 64 100 38 0 0
ODI 0 23 32 93 57 76 6 0
CDI 0 4 7 46 103 334 186 6
VCDI 0 9 6 17 97 1533 13633 12627

Date: 2023-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72 2349 50 65 42 2 0 0
OW 0 107 53 64 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 40 180 112 8 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 40 142 96 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 7 40 255 46 0
VCDI 0 4 1 10 57 1461 15719 11003
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72 2088 36 57 45 2 0 0
OW 0 200 16 40 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 54 104 121 18 0 0
ODI 0 72 31 80 73 65 0 0
CDI 0 3 7 61 62 238 52 0
VCDI 0 8 4 24 100 1499 15713 11003

Date: 2023-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 2116 41 65 77 0 0 0
OW 0 131 24 37 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 25 68 69 6 0 0
ODI 0 31 28 78 124 63 3 0
CDI 0 1 2 16 92 219 94 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 1450 13958 13014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 1962 36 58 71 0 0 0
OW 0 153 12 21 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 35 88 109 11 0 0
ODI 0 77 22 32 89 68 8 0
CDI 0 37 15 59 73 214 117 12
VCDI 0 0 0 6 77 1445 13930 13024

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 1870 49 58 25 26 0 0
OW 0 137 18 8 26 6 0 0
VODI 0 80 28 55 30 28 0 0
ODI 0 11 15 33 53 59 20 0
CDI 0 0 8 34 123 250 131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 58 1396 14760 12676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 1767 38 56 32 26 0 0
OW 0 183 24 12 16 4 0 0
VODI 0 120 33 49 28 30 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 42 98 97 3 0
CDI 0 15 14 24 88 253 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 53 1355 14810 12676


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