Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91248 5484 174 330 113 69 30 0
OW 6 94 52 151 47 36 26 0
VODI 0 45 40 216 66 84 23 0
ODI 0 6 19 95 75 83 31 0
CDI 0 3 11 82 161 228 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 193 1976 5847 1836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90807 5701 195 299 187 82 40 0
OW 6 83 48 104 67 30 27 0
VODI 0 41 27 201 83 95 36 0
ODI 0 7 20 109 92 107 31 0
CDI 0 3 9 49 142 276 101 0
VCDI 0 3 6 35 151 1034 7322 1444
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89744 6579 234 317 196 111 17 0
OW 9 50 62 110 81 18 18 0
VODI 0 23 57 193 122 46 18 0
ODI 0 12 10 137 106 118 25 0
CDI 0 4 3 35 111 430 79 0
VCDI 0 1 9 23 122 961 6813 2096
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88994 7023 245 297 147 155 32 0
OW 9 69 46 128 107 19 20 0
VODI 0 20 32 147 173 36 20 0
ODI 0 4 15 106 168 61 37 0
CDI 0 0 3 56 118 282 132 0
VCDI 0 1 5 25 98 736 6822 2712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88986 7030 244 294 176 157 37 0
OW 17 64 49 145 93 17 17 0
VODI 0 20 33 150 190 37 21 0
ODI 0 2 12 93 153 70 39 0
CDI 0 0 3 44 98 299 152 0
VCDI 0 1 5 33 101 709 6797 2712

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88995 6685 242 338 235 141 26 0
OW 12 67 60 100 131 37 21 0
VODI 0 12 36 90 155 68 11 0
ODI 0 0 3 62 202 89 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 153 146 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 65 985 7119 2672
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88988 6695 250 342 278 156 36 0
OW 19 61 55 100 114 36 12 0
VODI 0 8 35 106 173 65 13 0
ODI 0 0 1 54 200 86 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 119 156 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 57 967 7103 2672

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88033 7608 221 267 240 78 13 0
OW 29 126 46 95 97 62 0 0
VODI 0 44 52 74 83 86 0 0
ODI 0 10 12 80 85 144 6 0
CDI 0 5 7 27 88 371 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 57 1247 6912 2740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88030 7568 216 290 322 158 13 0
OW 32 116 59 72 68 72 1 0
VODI 0 65 29 85 55 113 5 0
ODI 0 19 18 47 60 148 12 0
CDI 0 21 9 34 68 210 36 0
VCDI 0 4 7 42 77 1287 6892 2740

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87194 7964 212 328 264 120 6 0
OW 29 152 62 148 109 81 1 0
VODI 0 49 37 90 111 128 3 0
ODI 0 11 18 63 70 122 7 0
CDI 0 0 3 52 113 261 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 30 1218 7601 2396
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87193 7884 205 349 339 215 10 0
OW 30 179 59 101 64 86 2 0
VODI 0 81 40 103 103 130 7 0
ODI 0 24 17 57 46 117 17 0
CDI 0 8 11 48 80 201 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 65 1181 7579 2396

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85820 8827 243 353 259 170 18 0
OW 32 263 103 163 70 106 3 0
VODI 0 18 28 139 130 176 15 0
ODI 0 2 11 41 56 136 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 80 193 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 31 1048 7879 2516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85819 8834 257 381 275 231 24 0
OW 33 225 64 86 70 117 11 0
VODI 0 45 46 151 128 172 45 0
ODI 0 3 13 53 47 130 42 0
CDI 0 2 3 32 42 183 66 0
VCDI 0 1 2 27 64 996 7864 2516


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