Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105281 14128 668 1368 367 75 30 0
OW 10 593 355 1144 845 228 28 0
VODI 0 116 113 599 1195 1204 81 0
ODI 0 6 26 182 715 1917 359 0
CDI 0 3 11 89 547 4483 908 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 477 8829 23352 16683
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103361 14160 645 1376 609 144 40 0
OW 17 576 236 975 1001 324 33 0
VODI 0 55 63 453 1302 1423 113 0
ODI 0 7 24 161 544 1728 400 0
CDI 0 3 9 66 369 2888 1579 0
VCDI 0 3 6 35 203 7034 25054 20029
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101687 13956 749 1331 707 247 17 0
OW 21 288 194 549 551 108 18 0
VODI 0 104 120 616 1094 369 22 0
ODI 0 33 31 256 1228 885 44 0
CDI 0 4 3 43 1209 3619 707 0
VCDI 0 1 9 23 348 5734 27425 22698
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100861 14064 542 723 821 293 38 0
OW 32 559 204 456 547 209 29 0
VODI 0 200 126 409 816 450 44 0
ODI 0 33 56 278 698 941 116 0
CDI 0 0 4 121 769 1926 699 0
VCDI 0 1 5 31 511 5428 25164 28844
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100852 13808 542 791 1040 378 47 0
OW 40 795 192 385 373 200 29 0
VODI 1 213 137 432 788 385 41 0
ODI 0 40 54 247 617 882 118 0
CDI 0 0 7 126 728 1679 531 0
VCDI 0 1 5 37 616 5723 25324 28844

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99534 13848 565 880 496 336 27 0
OW 50 647 172 432 533 523 53 0
VODI 0 300 149 475 572 484 49 0
ODI 0 104 69 274 595 659 125 0
CDI 0 16 29 177 820 1258 499 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 784 6762 25379 29334
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99532 13822 573 969 659 541 57 0
OW 50 646 156 323 466 442 36 0
VODI 2 336 149 503 530 417 46 0
ODI 0 95 79 274 583 610 135 0
CDI 0 16 27 163 662 1109 475 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 900 6903 25383 29334

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98491 14214 489 713 383 127 13 0
OW 90 674 297 487 215 102 0 0
VODI 3 153 217 591 497 180 0 0
ODI 0 11 39 308 925 538 8 0
CDI 0 5 7 75 444 3034 212 29
VCDI 0 0 0 36 201 6903 28534 27803
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98496 13599 544 937 642 320 15 0
OW 87 900 257 433 317 364 18 0
VODI 1 440 128 350 379 749 35 0
ODI 0 77 74 261 503 642 90 1
CDI 0 36 29 137 477 1176 317 38
VCDI 0 5 17 92 347 7633 28292 27793

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96400 14443 455 793 488 223 6 0
OW 83 915 277 589 325 161 1 0
VODI 12 378 146 517 608 324 3 0
ODI 1 86 85 238 509 391 11 0
CDI 0 28 20 163 424 1115 212 0
VCDI 0 3 3 43 280 6851 29655 29783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96356 13936 464 903 686 444 10 0
OW 128 1058 262 575 480 212 15 0
VODI 11 514 123 402 462 588 157 0
ODI 1 211 79 196 280 654 283 0
CDI 0 94 38 136 306 922 431 0
VCDI 0 40 20 131 420 6245 28992 29783

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95861 13253 421 659 395 239 18 0
OW 170 1158 325 595 304 206 3 0
VODI 33 443 242 554 667 388 20 0
ODI 5 135 114 308 396 604 48 0
CDI 0 20 26 146 431 816 239 0
VCDI 0 7 7 58 379 5174 30410 31771
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95875 12906 470 792 471 405 24 0
OW 171 1123 219 393 484 347 16 0
VODI 17 670 253 598 629 496 82 0
ODI 6 212 115 238 244 651 204 0
CDI 0 73 60 202 292 967 508 0
VCDI 0 32 18 97 452 4561 29904 31771


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