Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9477 6869 55 94 9 0 0 0
OW 0 822 98 230 51 14 0 0
VODI 0 297 114 221 131 31 0 0
ODI 0 55 47 199 258 99 0 0
CDI 0 30 17 101 388 769 368 0
VCDI 0 1 7 69 97 3338 7096 630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8192 7440 138 115 17 0 0 0
OW 39 956 127 289 134 24 0 0
VODI 0 201 142 319 172 77 0 0
ODI 0 22 23 229 192 208 18 0
CDI 0 13 10 118 274 619 162 0
VCDI 0 0 5 34 141 2382 7996 1254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6590 8828 371 379 14 0 0 0
OW 17 252 104 435 122 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 28 302 355 6 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 89 466 80 0 0
CDI 0 2 5 15 268 725 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 42 1336 9665 1470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8112 6498 185 206 6 0 0 0
OW 48 771 169 405 191 0 0 0
VODI 11 93 48 323 399 23 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 85 402 95 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 7 263 524 28 0
VCDI 0 0 3 11 98 1825 6426 4813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8133 6817 252 336 23 0 0 0
OW 12 492 88 305 138 0 0 0
VODI 26 53 65 275 411 18 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 92 386 112 4 0
CDI 0 4 2 15 245 432 25 0
VCDI 0 0 4 14 156 1905 6425 4813

Date: 2023-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6356 7016 99 98 5 0 0 0
OW 216 1058 308 649 173 1 0 0
VODI 22 61 90 377 501 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 92 386 182 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 15 238 414 18 0
VCDI 0 1 1 13 112 1730 5737 6044
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6425 7035 156 203 50 1 0 0
OW 135 1025 211 427 139 4 0 0
VODI 34 75 123 480 482 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 94 362 198 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 27 232 345 30 0
VCDI 0 1 2 13 150 1786 5725 6044

Date: 2023-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3959 8081 304 224 2 0 0 0
OW 64 922 240 455 100 0 0 0
VODI 12 29 68 539 557 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 1006 194 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 232 1020 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 48 1320 5033 7513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3976 7723 314 381 74 7 0 0
OW 28 1147 199 420 204 39 0 0
VODI 22 160 96 383 936 174 4 0
ODI 9 2 3 81 397 363 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 210 424 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 124 1531 4974 7513

Date: 2023-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3187 5170 316 546 183 6 0 0
OW 0 1744 388 920 411 53 0 0
VODI 0 279 113 357 715 247 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 26 467 484 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 7 152 816 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 1572 7162 6542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3187 5672 472 1019 465 54 0 0
OW 0 998 214 507 430 194 4 0
VODI 0 494 118 254 594 545 14 0
ODI 0 31 18 59 212 696 75 0
CDI 0 0 2 17 167 482 390 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 1207 6845 6542

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2887 3613 121 184 253 3 0 0
OW 5 1207 369 872 895 266 0 0
VODI 0 727 189 653 1120 599 0 0
ODI 0 18 10 131 442 576 4 0
CDI 0 4 9 29 254 556 23 0
VCDI 0 0 3 24 199 2411 9031 4395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2892 3905 262 661 699 166 0 0
OW 0 933 211 490 1214 532 0 0
VODI 0 676 176 476 453 792 17 0
ODI 0 48 43 158 285 498 53 0
CDI 0 7 8 106 262 609 254 0
VCDI 0 0 1 2 250 1814 8734 4395


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