Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95527 4175 241 270 0 0 0 0
OW 0 123 111 240 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 64 319 161 5 0 0
ODI 0 8 46 408 1050 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 17 798 2937 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 2263 75 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95407 4207 180 251 11 0 0 0
OW 0 157 116 225 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 81 281 124 12 0 0
ODI 0 10 40 442 955 135 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 60 771 2159 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 3163 92 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95063 4491 235 372 13 0 0 0
OW 0 93 107 202 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 71 351 225 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 10 282 1196 150 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 520 3194 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2435 12 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94707 4432 197 379 210 0 0 0
OW 0 124 72 143 125 12 0 0
VODI 0 35 44 235 262 30 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 180 1221 164 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 734 2601 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3127 34 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94707 4490 215 401 258 11 0 0
OW 0 70 59 124 125 8 0 0
VODI 0 30 38 208 255 29 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 202 1133 138 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 781 2765 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2983 34 0

Date: 2023-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94474 4632 192 354 165 0 0 0
OW 0 101 95 169 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 35 267 232 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 237 917 282 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 411 2502 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3400 431 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94474 4695 215 388 220 0 0 0
OW 0 44 76 152 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 30 243 191 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 234 835 256 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 488 2599 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3329 429 0

Date: 2023-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94483 4473 218 344 137 0 0 0
OW 0 90 81 100 72 4 0 0
VODI 0 34 61 245 166 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 171 596 133 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 276 3860 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2584 913 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94483 4496 246 409 260 7 0 0
OW 0 70 68 102 94 1 0 0
VODI 0 28 43 199 187 17 0 0
ODI 0 5 11 134 419 465 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 287 2697 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3401 905 0

Date: 2023-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94403 4464 225 294 119 1 0 0
OW 0 101 70 128 81 2 0 0
VODI 0 37 62 236 144 11 0 0
ODI 0 5 11 172 439 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 415 2832 204 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3621 870 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94403 4495 257 397 197 1 0 0
OW 0 79 50 123 95 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 50 174 187 15 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 137 388 301 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 331 2319 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3937 755 0

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93822 4757 249 372 169 6 0 0
OW 0 65 62 163 86 7 0 0
VODI 0 28 30 207 189 22 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 173 395 109 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 360 1806 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3491 2284 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93822 4750 272 469 250 10 0 0
OW 0 61 30 139 126 10 0 0
VODI 0 39 34 159 167 26 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 159 337 151 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 319 1974 395 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3270 2054 0


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