Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9533 8052 148 120 7 0 0 0
OW 0 395 154 278 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 183 1337 452 1 0 0
ODI 0 20 27 716 3809 1112 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 82 1785 3663 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12020 5719 61 64 8 0 0 0
OW 0 586 147 208 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 249 247 1246 387 1 0 0
ODI 0 45 40 881 4118 495 0 0
CDI 0 6 8 95 2423 2973 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12054 6332 89 94 1 0 0 0
OW 0 481 217 329 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 187 1451 342 1 0 0
ODI 0 12 20 787 5237 381 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1026 2881 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12472 5834 91 84 3 0 0 0
OW 0 651 230 387 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 174 1172 404 4 0 0
ODI 0 18 20 795 4604 524 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1600 2809 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12472 6056 122 129 6 0 0 0
OW 0 427 191 353 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 183 1126 396 4 0 0
ODI 0 18 17 826 4961 646 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 9 1236 2687 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12403 5686 86 79 0 0 0 0
OW 0 860 209 346 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 204 197 1072 335 3 0 0
ODI 0 23 20 618 3835 832 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1671 3508 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12403 5994 104 87 3 0 0 0
OW 0 546 174 347 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 215 1042 333 4 0 0
ODI 0 25 16 627 4096 934 39 0
CDI 0 1 3 22 1406 3405 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12264 6188 178 134 8 0 0 0
OW 0 380 200 327 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 151 1104 255 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 336 3033 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1442 5484 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 150 43 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12264 5700 93 65 5 0 0 0
OW 0 658 182 269 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 265 227 1006 359 7 0 0
ODI 0 24 28 520 2951 1192 37 0
CDI 0 0 1 45 1398 4670 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12203 6140 147 148 5 0 0 0
OW 0 374 166 335 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 103 901 298 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 12 290 2477 419 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 2000 5696 135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 74 10 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12203 5345 41 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 867 150 215 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 349 190 967 353 2 0 0
ODI 0 61 46 442 2385 642 5 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 2041 5547 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12702 5336 95 122 48 2 0 0
OW 0 677 121 176 200 80 0 0
VODI 0 167 147 516 239 250 0 0
ODI 0 32 34 388 1653 569 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 816 6795 605 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 156 85 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12702 4682 38 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 836 92 147 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 538 168 491 481 261 0 0
ODI 0 150 93 479 1107 911 54 0
CDI 0 6 6 88 1292 6561 643 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 119 25 0


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