Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6760 3585 18092 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1518 52 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1803 126 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1818 826 706 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 2728 1206 1357 75 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3915 1072 73 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17418 10172 405 320 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1189 328 311 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 176 333 1208 200 11 0 0
ODI 0 6 17 775 2087 383 1 0
CDI 0 7 0 32 1227 3899 229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 3418 1604 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18353 10880 466 210 5 0 0 0
OW 0 291 236 291 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 130 681 273 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 508 1907 353 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 38 1316 4924 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 10 3618 1118 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18413 10833 306 171 17 0 0 0
OW 0 503 258 224 10 1 0 0
VODI 0 103 158 709 196 3 0 0
ODI 0 13 36 852 1421 222 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 88 1915 4456 158 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 12 4379 402 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18413 10685 300 173 15 0 0 0
OW 0 575 239 194 15 1 0 0
VODI 0 180 187 770 149 6 0 0
ODI 0 12 32 787 1414 186 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 120 1965 4129 151 0
VCDI 0 2 0 2 13 4739 409 0

Date: 2023-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19039 10239 279 151 2 0 0 0
OW 0 615 211 252 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 175 745 144 1 0 0
ODI 0 18 45 1053 963 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 318 1890 3076 181 0
VCDI 0 0 2 2 13 5358 865 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19039 9929 270 146 3 0 0 0
OW 0 848 202 207 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 204 190 877 105 3 0 0
ODI 0 24 49 935 948 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 353 1942 2997 200 0
VCDI 0 0 2 3 14 5464 846 0

Date: 2023-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19017 10719 415 301 6 0 0 0
OW 0 208 138 269 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 91 976 192 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 358 2327 213 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 697 5749 102 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 9 3127 863 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19017 9825 262 221 4 0 0 0
OW 0 853 202 282 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 246 138 658 368 59 0 0
ODI 0 52 36 419 788 378 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 339 2028 2629 148 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 25 6024 817 0

Date: 2023-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20248 9708 348 316 51 0 0 0
OW 0 218 112 232 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 101 631 347 60 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 365 1573 723 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 924 3163 1318 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 14 3939 1272 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20248 8661 185 158 38 0 0 0
OW 0 962 146 204 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 335 183 663 290 64 0 0
ODI 0 27 40 474 800 266 10 0
CDI 0 4 9 66 1807 2366 786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 18 5189 1822 0

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20869 9269 261 184 81 9 0 0
OW 0 331 147 198 60 4 0 0
VODI 0 147 134 562 243 69 0 0
ODI 0 23 48 437 1296 671 18 0
CDI 0 0 2 147 898 2587 883 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 30 4038 2219 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20869 8119 166 108 56 8 0 0
OW 0 1040 96 111 37 5 0 0
VODI 0 552 211 523 188 34 0 0
ODI 0 42 92 536 625 282 3 0
CDI 0 17 27 251 1695 2446 501 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 4603 2616 0


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