Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5675 9415 258 188 8 0 0 0
OW 0 564 318 438 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 266 343 1818 433 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 16 650 4195 915 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1141 5062 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 29 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6854 8441 254 152 4 0 0 0
OW 0 654 284 385 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 293 392 1739 516 15 0 0
ODI 0 12 24 612 3469 1733 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 498 4494 1075 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7960 8193 396 222 10 0 0 0
OW 0 345 375 495 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 160 1467 434 20 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 465 2912 311 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 23 783 5652 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 449 736 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8110 8152 350 291 27 0 0 0
OW 0 383 348 509 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 136 1254 563 20 0 0
ODI 0 11 14 547 2580 296 0 0
CDI 0 1 5 45 955 6072 511 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 551 237 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8110 8239 390 300 30 0 0 0
OW 0 299 309 474 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 134 1262 537 19 0 0
ODI 0 13 10 560 2588 322 0 0
CDI 0 3 10 50 976 6097 557 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 501 191 0

Date: 2023-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7837 8727 319 234 22 0 0 0
OW 0 409 296 539 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 123 1073 793 35 0 0
ODI 0 17 20 463 2536 307 0 0
CDI 0 3 10 58 1522 5662 443 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 463 47 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7837 8819 391 272 13 0 0 0
OW 0 315 223 483 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 120 1052 761 38 0 0
ODI 0 21 21 496 2534 352 0 0
CDI 0 5 13 64 1563 5688 451 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 389 39 0

Date: 2023-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8235 8727 371 275 6 0 0 0
OW 0 243 192 349 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 160 1382 386 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 523 4152 366 0 0
CDI 0 3 5 42 1846 4169 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 116 252 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8235 8574 358 304 10 0 0 0
OW 0 332 221 479 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 121 1099 797 48 0 0
ODI 0 27 27 611 2304 251 0 0
CDI 0 5 13 78 3218 4215 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 137 0 0

Date: 2023-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7729 9306 410 261 2 0 0 0
OW 0 186 209 337 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 129 1379 390 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 825 4022 143 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 2727 3861 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 19 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7729 9041 424 341 16 0 0 0
OW 0 380 183 457 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 119 1116 840 39 0 0
ODI 0 15 23 855 2206 266 0 0
CDI 0 2 6 103 4049 3534 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 186 0 0

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8360 8059 1074 221 0 0 0 0
OW 0 299 160 268 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 190 1203 445 5 0 0
ODI 0 9 21 617 3666 578 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 2351 4211 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8360 7694 1075 324 3 0 0 0
OW 0 567 167 328 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 187 164 1004 746 18 0 0
ODI 0 27 29 618 2350 454 0 0
CDI 0 9 10 72 3196 4119 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 149 204 0 0


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