Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92234 6224 212 129 8 0 0 0
OW 0 107 112 279 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 104 512 261 21 0 0
ODI 0 1 18 194 321 139 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 46 1077 3327 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 953 2369 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93683 4809 207 140 9 0 0 0
OW 0 137 131 357 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 96 375 267 21 0 0
ODI 0 8 34 159 323 160 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 65 837 2835 746 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 11 1024 2543 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92604 5986 274 150 6 0 0 0
OW 0 93 193 380 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 81 287 237 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 18 157 340 170 0 0
CDI 0 1 6 37 567 2442 597 0
VCDI 0 1 2 6 15 466 3090 779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94262 4384 224 238 21 0 0 0
OW 0 194 188 276 78 2 0 0
VODI 0 63 82 195 230 26 0 0
ODI 0 16 23 116 332 103 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 107 1457 1871 319 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 17 546 3392 325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94262 4379 221 216 26 0 0 0
OW 0 196 189 299 84 4 0 0
VODI 0 65 80 188 215 25 0 0
ODI 0 17 25 112 315 77 0 0
CDI 0 1 9 120 1488 1850 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 7 592 3369 325

Date: 2023-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91177 7126 333 403 105 0 0 0
OW 0 160 153 280 96 10 0 0
VODI 0 53 58 180 227 53 0 0
ODI 0 17 18 139 317 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 90 1243 2138 596 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 211 3455 351
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91177 7090 309 454 120 0 0 0
OW 0 185 168 228 98 17 0 0
VODI 0 69 68 164 206 43 0 0
ODI 0 12 17 148 299 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 98 1265 2072 656 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 287 3395 351

Date: 2023-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94362 4314 242 279 32 0 0 0
OW 0 264 124 203 117 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 75 159 216 11 0 0
ODI 0 26 25 156 280 46 1 0
CDI 0 0 10 108 1164 2330 1293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 120 2858 209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94362 4356 264 316 34 0 0 0
OW 0 217 102 168 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 75 150 213 9 0 0
ODI 0 25 26 159 275 58 0 0
CDI 0 1 9 112 1176 2291 1314 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 149 2838 209

Date: 2023-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94190 4460 293 380 54 0 0 0
OW 0 227 119 208 129 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 74 185 177 9 0 0
ODI 0 34 25 147 263 41 1 0
CDI 0 5 16 145 1046 2903 1675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 101 2109 19
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94190 4524 316 403 54 0 0 0
OW 0 167 99 180 113 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 70 182 189 7 0 0
ODI 0 27 35 178 272 84 4 0
CDI 0 1 7 122 1041 2848 2303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 115 1478 19

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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