Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5607 7243 304 266 36 0 0 0
OW 0 650 335 480 115 4 0 0
VODI 0 203 386 1834 721 104 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1001 3559 2788 177 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1254 4646 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 7 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5184 8346 175 131 12 0 0 0
OW 2 962 287 483 123 22 0 0
VODI 0 437 289 1590 709 154 10 0
ODI 0 0 2 1076 3770 2414 117 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1755 3876 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 2 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5933 8873 270 152 5 0 0 0
OW 0 361 283 491 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 231 2092 591 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 696 4762 412 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1452 5012 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 76 56 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6678 8334 241 157 12 0 0 0
OW 0 506 323 521 45 1 0 0
VODI 0 187 307 1817 563 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 664 4219 898 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 895 5454 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 28 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6678 8471 337 267 12 0 0 0
OW 0 399 265 494 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 159 272 1774 578 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 625 4198 883 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 904 5466 183 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 19 25 0

Date: 2023-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6809 8342 285 189 9 0 0 0
OW 0 642 284 380 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 270 365 1806 459 11 0 0
ODI 0 4 17 642 3864 1309 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 865 4923 487 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 24 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6809 8547 330 239 8 0 0 0
OW 0 486 299 495 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 223 310 1621 538 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 12 660 3733 1319 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 895 4909 458 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 16 0

Date: 2023-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7034 8513 270 212 2 0 0 0
OW 0 579 277 533 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 339 1529 641 17 0 0
ODI 0 13 20 645 3046 1815 153 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 513 4683 795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 67 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7034 8384 236 199 4 0 0 0
OW 0 701 331 598 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 294 316 1437 630 23 1 0
ODI 0 14 22 682 3084 1885 250 0
CDI 0 0 2 37 479 4617 703 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 61 0

Date: 2023-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8074 7508 230 212 2 0 0 0
OW 0 724 260 513 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 356 286 1476 897 29 0 0
ODI 0 18 28 463 2706 2004 210 0
CDI 0 0 7 34 452 4647 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8074 7393 234 204 3 0 0 0
OW 0 880 289 566 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 315 248 1369 769 37 0 0
ODI 0 17 27 513 2847 2205 389 0
CDI 0 1 13 46 445 4477 641 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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