Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10855 9596 675 752 49 6 0 0
OW 1 519 426 1093 131 14 0 0
VODI 0 116 254 2667 556 123 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 1114 3093 249 0 0
CDI 0 6 9 31 2294 4969 505 0
VCDI 0 5 2 2 24 1367 4343 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11577 9272 588 654 58 2 0 0
OW 0 785 453 1187 126 9 0 0
VODI 0 253 369 2203 613 19 0 0
ODI 0 21 47 1276 2734 326 0 0
CDI 0 14 9 38 1984 4924 396 1
VCDI 0 4 2 0 19 950 4916 37
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11728 10461 812 670 58 0 0 0
OW 0 478 448 859 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 216 210 2646 620 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 10 826 3417 279 1 0
CDI 0 1 3 5 2040 3868 201 2
VCDI 0 4 0 0 14 1099 4760 34
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13245 9675 676 627 52 0 0 0
OW 20 695 390 855 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 296 249 2553 419 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 1068 2977 209 1 0
CDI 0 3 1 8 2510 3534 63 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 19 1798 3841 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13265 9610 672 670 61 0 0 0
OW 0 757 336 722 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 301 302 2463 406 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 8 1249 2951 193 1 0
CDI 0 3 2 7 2547 3462 80 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 21 1886 3824 0

Date: 2023-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13134 10039 632 682 39 0 0 0
OW 2 873 461 832 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 294 296 2381 447 15 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 1011 2871 177 31 2
CDI 0 2 1 31 2554 3103 538 39
VCDI 0 4 0 3 6 877 4240 193
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13136 10033 701 801 46 0 0 0
OW 0 834 380 636 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 339 294 2277 439 19 0 0
ODI 0 11 16 1195 2830 190 29 2
CDI 0 2 1 28 2602 3071 575 35
VCDI 0 4 0 3 8 892 4205 197

Date: 2023-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12682 11129 760 733 44 0 0 0
OW 31 697 274 595 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 351 319 1963 453 19 0 0
ODI 0 13 40 1178 2408 473 12 0
CDI 0 3 4 51 2048 4108 463 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 2 1734 2734 490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12694 11032 709 697 44 0 0 0
OW 19 776 331 582 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 370 313 2164 442 20 0 0
ODI 0 12 40 1031 2390 486 26 0
CDI 0 3 4 47 2065 3987 433 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 3 1841 2750 490

Date: 2023-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13423 11148 611 574 48 0 0 0
OW 49 717 221 497 16 0 0 0
VODI 14 588 425 1641 250 13 0 0
ODI 0 93 153 1223 2118 342 10 0
CDI 0 1 4 75 1983 4445 1106 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 10 1702 2362 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13402 10988 515 529 55 0 0 0
OW 48 871 314 539 5 0 0 0
VODI 36 644 475 1857 228 13 0 0
ODI 0 43 106 1007 2088 380 12 0
CDI 0 1 4 78 2045 4049 1222 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 4 2060 2244 0

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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