Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-08-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108696 23063 1191 1147 93 6 0 0
OW 1 1276 873 1852 304 18 0 0
VODI 0 357 744 5013 1538 248 0 0
ODI 0 5 34 2309 6973 3176 177 0
CDI 0 7 13 78 4625 12942 1172 0
VCDI 0 5 2 2 24 2365 6719 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110444 22427 970 925 79 2 0 0
OW 2 1884 871 2027 317 31 0 0
VODI 0 741 754 4168 1589 194 10 0
ODI 0 29 83 2511 6827 2900 117 0
CDI 0 15 11 105 4576 11635 1279 1
VCDI 0 4 2 1 30 1989 7461 37
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110265 25320 1356 972 69 0 0 0
OW 0 932 924 1730 165 0 0 0
VODI 0 389 522 5025 1448 49 0 0
ODI 0 25 37 1679 8519 861 1 0
CDI 0 2 9 47 4059 11322 917 2
VCDI 0 5 2 6 29 1641 7906 813
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114185 22393 1141 1022 85 0 0 0
OW 20 1395 901 1652 183 3 0 0
VODI 0 546 638 4565 1212 28 0 0
ODI 0 33 40 1848 7528 1210 2 0
CDI 0 4 8 130 4862 10859 562 0
VCDI 0 4 0 5 36 2362 7261 325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114205 22460 1230 1153 99 0 0 0
OW 0 1352 790 1515 177 5 0 0
VODI 0 525 654 4425 1199 29 0 0
ODI 0 30 43 1986 7464 1153 2 0
CDI 0 4 11 141 4939 10778 605 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 28 2497 7218 325

Date: 2023-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111120 25507 1250 1274 153 0 0 0
OW 2 1675 898 1492 180 10 0 0
VODI 0 617 719 4367 1133 79 0 0
ODI 0 32 37 1792 7052 1575 39 2
CDI 0 2 7 142 4662 10164 1621 55
VCDI 0 4 0 3 6 1114 7719 544
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111122 25670 1340 1494 174 0 0 0
OW 0 1505 847 1359 197 17 0 0
VODI 0 631 672 4062 1183 79 0 0
ODI 0 25 45 2003 6862 1591 74 2
CDI 0 2 7 149 4762 10052 1689 51
VCDI 0 4 0 3 8 1203 7616 548

Date: 2023-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114078 23956 1272 1224 78 0 0 0
OW 31 1540 675 1331 219 0 0 0
VODI 0 715 733 3651 1310 47 0 0
ODI 0 52 85 1979 5734 2334 166 0
CDI 0 3 15 193 3725 11121 2551 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 2 1865 5659 699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114090 23772 1209 1212 82 0 0 0
OW 19 1694 764 1348 229 0 0 0
VODI 0 745 704 3751 1285 52 1 0
ODI 0 51 88 1872 5749 2429 276 0
CDI 0 4 15 196 3720 10895 2450 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 3 1991 5649 699

Date: 2023-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115687 23116 1134 1166 104 0 0 0
OW 49 1668 600 1218 217 0 0 0
VODI 14 1009 785 3302 1324 51 0 0
ODI 0 145 206 1833 5087 2387 221 0
CDI 0 6 27 254 3481 11995 3601 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 10 1857 4471 19
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115666 22905 1065 1136 112 0 0 0
OW 48 1918 702 1285 183 0 0 0
VODI 36 1031 793 3408 1186 57 0 0
ODI 0 87 168 1698 5207 2669 405 0
CDI 0 3 24 246 3531 11374 4166 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 4 2190 3722 19

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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