Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88987 8354 387 340 52 0 0 0
OW 0 103 101 331 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 85 595 383 31 0 0
ODI 0 7 12 186 344 100 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 316 3873 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 883 2186 843
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91243 6499 255 194 30 0 0 0
OW 0 220 123 242 69 8 0 0
VODI 0 80 103 578 281 33 1 0
ODI 0 13 32 195 283 92 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 1260 2962 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 1011 2933 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91261 6729 287 278 4 0 0 0
OW 0 112 110 196 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 80 637 315 28 1 0
ODI 0 0 10 153 436 142 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1309 2792 379 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 518 2632 610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91845 6378 264 227 6 0 0 0
OW 0 94 76 229 102 1 0 0
VODI 0 24 89 502 326 54 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 149 271 259 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 26 811 3161 611 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 908 2642 28
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91845 6380 253 246 10 0 0 0
OW 0 87 102 237 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 75 478 322 53 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 140 266 241 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 810 3145 601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 944 2649 28

Date: 2023-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93708 4744 197 187 6 0 0 0
OW 0 116 75 380 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 97 455 259 14 0 0
ODI 0 3 21 190 362 80 0 0
CDI 0 2 3 62 1264 3056 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 932 2444 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93708 4743 193 194 7 0 0 0
OW 0 110 84 383 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 96 445 259 14 0 0
ODI 0 3 17 181 364 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 71 1263 3002 275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 981 2522 0

Date: 2023-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93631 4908 216 131 3 0 0 0
OW 0 128 142 297 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 130 456 219 13 0 0
ODI 0 3 18 170 470 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 44 654 2767 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1003 3192 196
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93631 4831 229 196 3 0 0 0
OW 0 172 124 368 64 1 0 0
VODI 0 71 120 280 256 21 0 0
ODI 0 15 30 147 250 187 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 99 780 2887 565 0
VCDI 0 0 5 8 19 824 2717 196

Date: 2023-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93426 5278 201 189 13 0 0 0
OW 0 161 204 329 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 79 215 226 30 0 0
ODI 0 10 21 124 346 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 70 1007 2356 241 6
VCDI 0 0 2 12 10 507 2876 934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93426 5161 201 235 10 0 0 0
OW 0 218 174 305 89 2 0 0
VODI 0 100 89 148 268 17 0 0
ODI 0 20 39 121 314 141 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 130 975 2566 469 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 286 2648 931

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93015 5578 283 251 12 0 0 0
OW 0 126 135 339 105 6 0 0
VODI 0 39 49 235 232 41 0 0
ODI 0 13 18 112 334 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 91 1343 2128 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 350 3237 607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93015 5474 248 357 36 0 0 0
OW 0 180 158 264 165 9 0 0
VODI 0 88 52 172 236 28 0 0
ODI 0 14 24 123 353 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 112 1236 2254 695 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 238 2848 607


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