Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9714 8961 527 694 101 1 0 0
OW 0 409 391 1198 142 23 1 0
VODI 0 85 168 3276 1479 44 2 0
ODI 0 2 1 278 4502 553 13 0
CDI 0 11 9 17 1390 3855 1548 0
VCDI 0 3 1 4 30 2027 4174 232
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10331 8767 627 952 81 6 0 0
OW 0 615 407 1207 177 30 0 0
VODI 0 91 189 2923 1558 66 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 287 3515 1013 0 0
CDI 0 13 13 12 1100 4780 1395 0
VCDI 0 5 2 7 71 3715 1909 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10098 9655 696 902 79 0 0 0
OW 0 322 300 875 83 18 0 0
VODI 0 68 174 2881 912 25 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 412 4086 368 0 0
CDI 0 6 10 32 2337 4401 810 0
VCDI 0 1 5 5 28 1431 3550 1291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10790 9431 710 774 62 3 0 0
OW 0 485 375 1012 115 9 0 0
VODI 0 87 155 2897 755 9 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 580 3471 456 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 30 2658 4516 568 0
VCDI 0 5 1 4 51 1163 4418 257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10790 9506 722 854 63 0 0 0
OW 0 396 335 922 118 12 0 0
VODI 0 98 181 2794 684 9 0 0
ODI 0 14 3 692 3503 459 3 0
CDI 0 3 4 31 2641 4565 564 0
VCDI 0 5 1 4 103 1111 4419 257

Date: 2023-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11282 9334 613 764 56 3 0 0
OW 0 606 467 1142 117 12 0 0
VODI 0 157 256 2506 652 8 0 0
ODI 0 4 26 1204 2803 434 1 0
CDI 0 14 13 36 1632 5260 613 1
VCDI 0 5 0 2 27 1232 4472 112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11282 9459 661 860 66 7 0 0
OW 0 443 404 1100 112 8 0 0
VODI 0 193 260 2409 686 10 0 0
ODI 0 6 37 1234 2769 409 2 0
CDI 0 14 13 49 1631 5292 648 1
VCDI 0 5 0 2 23 1223 4436 112

Date: 2023-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11351 10409 718 559 26 0 0 0
OW 0 515 583 709 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 285 3056 466 14 0 0
ODI 0 17 10 665 3922 227 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 1527 4501 74 1
VCDI 0 4 2 0 3 1331 4327 371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11351 9924 638 732 59 0 0 0
OW 0 727 521 999 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 367 350 1969 643 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 78 1247 2755 200 0 0
CDI 0 14 9 48 2472 4630 217 3
VCDI 0 4 2 1 4 1243 4184 369

Date: 2023-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12938 9568 807 704 59 0 0 0
OW 0 567 357 917 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 225 2664 460 3 0 0
ODI 0 14 10 959 3119 321 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 8 2410 3515 100 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 30 1241 4530 9
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12938 8956 544 704 67 0 0 0
OW 0 858 490 918 55 2 0 0
VODI 0 496 283 2015 467 2 0 0
ODI 0 66 70 1563 2291 94 3 0
CDI 0 16 13 52 3234 3842 304 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 46 1140 4323 9

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12985 9981 687 701 75 0 0 0
OW 4 781 369 890 58 1 0 0
VODI 0 290 315 2503 379 5 0 0
ODI 0 12 8 1066 2895 165 15 0
CDI 0 1 1 12 2980 2997 231 5
VCDI 0 4 0 0 12 2585 2853 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12989 9356 568 738 87 1 0 0
OW 0 979 396 790 54 1 0 0
VODI 0 629 287 1897 381 2 0 0
ODI 0 80 115 1692 1950 66 15 0
CDI 0 21 14 54 3911 3387 450 5
VCDI 0 4 0 1 16 2296 2634 0


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