Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102269 24819 1161 1148 156 1 0 0
OW 0 1230 952 2148 314 23 1 0
VODI 0 248 476 5637 2875 87 2 0
ODI 0 18 36 1042 9147 1779 14 0
CDI 0 11 11 67 2939 14466 2081 0
VCDI 0 3 1 4 30 4083 6694 1075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106396 21748 1068 1266 117 6 0 0
OW 0 1745 933 2151 335 38 0 0
VODI 0 374 520 5297 2903 99 1 0
ODI 0 23 56 1226 7717 2175 8 0
CDI 0 13 15 118 4954 13441 1650 0
VCDI 0 5 2 7 126 5550 4965 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106611 23468 1272 1362 89 0 0 0
OW 0 939 748 1517 179 19 0 0
VODI 0 217 537 5451 2019 66 1 0
ODI 0 4 19 1233 9785 1646 5 0
CDI 0 6 10 62 4934 13212 1338 0
VCDI 0 1 5 5 28 2106 6253 1901
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108282 22894 1256 1263 94 3 0 0
OW 0 1152 785 1731 306 10 0 0
VODI 0 284 577 5273 1877 100 0 0
ODI 0 14 9 1467 7602 3494 86 0
CDI 0 3 7 58 4525 12807 1549 0
VCDI 0 5 1 4 53 2125 7067 285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108282 23090 1302 1407 99 0 0 0
OW 0 965 775 1682 316 12 0 0
VODI 0 268 531 4876 1795 107 0 0
ODI 0 21 21 1762 7496 3279 104 0
CDI 0 3 5 65 4646 13038 1523 0
VCDI 0 5 1 4 105 2103 7075 285

Date: 2023-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110628 21613 1064 1170 84 3 0 0
OW 0 1489 877 1988 286 26 0 0
VODI 0 525 710 4587 1720 150 8 0
ODI 0 7 51 2302 6950 3134 178 0
CDI 0 16 16 99 4494 12460 1147 1
VCDI 0 5 0 2 27 2203 6916 112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110628 21890 1157 1328 94 7 0 0
OW 0 1178 787 1930 289 17 0 0
VODI 0 556 697 4268 1714 153 6 0
ODI 0 12 61 2498 6764 3046 164 0
CDI 0 14 16 122 4677 12529 1121 1
VCDI 0 5 0 2 23 2224 6958 112

Date: 2023-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111343 23644 1143 780 35 0 0 0
OW 0 1084 1003 1353 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 270 715 5616 1331 37 0 0
ODI 0 20 33 1435 9276 836 1 0
CDI 0 1 5 52 3240 12790 230 1
VCDI 0 4 2 0 15 2509 7572 567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111343 22257 1068 1087 79 0 0 0
OW 0 1742 875 1768 296 15 0 0
VODI 0 947 781 3489 1647 187 3 0
ODI 0 59 158 2714 6617 2775 58 0
CDI 0 14 12 169 5340 11128 841 3
VCDI 0 4 7 9 23 2067 6901 565

Date: 2023-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112243 23829 1288 1071 88 0 0 0
OW 0 1110 838 1833 205 1 0 0
VODI 0 436 584 4703 1353 47 0 0
ODI 0 25 39 1785 7922 1136 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 88 4474 11217 497 6
VCDI 0 4 2 13 40 1799 7423 943
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112239 22003 1015 1201 122 7 0 0
OW 4 2121 870 1665 274 49 0 0
VODI 0 1150 656 3417 1474 220 4 0
ODI 0 111 194 2981 5961 2707 33 0
CDI 0 17 20 228 6205 9791 912 9
VCDI 0 4 0 1 46 1426 6971 940

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111675 24974 1228 1140 95 0 0 0
OW 4 1471 822 1667 216 7 0 0
VODI 0 595 707 4556 1044 58 0 0
ODI 0 27 42 1828 7424 1189 16 0
CDI 0 1 7 118 5464 10187 789 5
VCDI 0 4 0 0 12 2950 6119 607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111664 23133 1089 1369 160 1 0 0
OW 15 2290 762 1424 364 27 1 0
VODI 0 1477 671 3196 1226 306 54 0
ODI 0 147 261 3142 5340 2615 154 0
CDI 0 21 23 177 7149 8908 1233 5
VCDI 0 4 0 1 16 2534 5482 607


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