Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87704 8565 663 771 52 2 0 0
OW 0 89 112 362 102 16 0 0
VODI 0 37 49 526 371 37 0 0
ODI 0 8 24 142 484 288 0 0
CDI 0 8 14 26 302 4596 1518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 922 1308 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87268 9202 641 729 60 3 0 0
OW 0 84 98 401 137 5 0 0
VODI 0 33 52 455 364 38 3 0
ODI 0 2 21 188 436 293 18 0
CDI 0 0 5 42 243 3603 2444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 190 2042 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88205 8680 612 441 51 0 0 0
OW 0 66 104 295 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 101 611 338 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 167 488 147 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 267 3168 440 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 815 3496 446
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88917 8269 435 403 66 0 0 0
OW 0 85 120 330 68 3 0 0
VODI 0 34 96 570 349 47 1 0
ODI 0 0 8 205 429 64 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 381 3733 331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1127 2814 192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88917 8265 450 440 60 0 0 0
OW 0 89 99 317 81 3 0 0
VODI 0 34 101 547 343 48 1 0
ODI 0 0 9 199 439 65 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 369 3703 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1155 2809 192

Date: 2023-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88757 8766 383 221 44 0 0 0
OW 0 172 112 296 62 1 0 0
VODI 0 47 103 667 275 24 6 0
ODI 0 5 23 207 287 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 38 842 3491 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 826 2640 450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88757 8789 396 274 37 0 0 0
OW 0 145 103 265 68 3 0 0
VODI 0 49 98 645 276 25 6 0
ODI 0 6 22 210 293 117 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 35 827 3502 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 805 2616 450

Date: 2023-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90736 7212 269 178 8 0 0 0
OW 0 154 151 195 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 109 676 262 19 0 0
ODI 0 4 11 189 523 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 15 1558 2795 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1806 1953 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90736 7153 277 206 7 0 0 0
OW 0 174 123 226 80 3 0 0
VODI 0 66 104 526 265 42 0 0
ODI 0 16 28 196 262 86 4 0
CDI 0 5 9 99 1718 2622 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 1950 1907 0

Date: 2023-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93613 4881 133 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 324 79 59 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 271 270 484 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 162 67 351 123 0 0 0
CDI 0 144 39 562 1895 1655 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 64 879 2612 143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93613 4744 149 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 358 93 157 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 346 210 328 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 165 69 208 112 0 0 0
CDI 0 169 67 737 1887 1666 290 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 86 868 2565 143

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92234 6224 212 129 8 0 0 0
OW 0 107 112 279 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 104 512 261 21 0 0
ODI 0 1 18 194 321 139 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 46 1077 3327 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 953 2369 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92234 6126 205 224 19 0 0 0
OW 0 169 95 296 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 101 349 213 35 0 0
ODI 0 16 32 145 284 107 0 0
CDI 0 1 17 143 1128 3479 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 10 819 2506 0


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