Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2035 7732 327 240 8 4 0 0
OW 0 362 370 776 81 9 0 0
VODI 0 121 187 1627 1643 55 1 0
ODI 0 9 15 406 5617 2192 49 0
CDI 0 1 2 16 334 5977 1864 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 12 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3158 6882 240 182 16 0 0 0
OW 1 720 384 641 101 2 0 0
VODI 0 171 275 1778 1951 105 0 0
ODI 0 6 17 245 5061 2645 19 0
CDI 0 0 4 24 519 5944 960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 17 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3381 7136 328 208 13 0 0 0
OW 0 451 366 529 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 243 1814 784 9 0 0
ODI 0 11 13 624 4751 930 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 16 1076 7021 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 259 1466 31
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3506 7389 263 151 3 0 0 0
OW 0 568 432 674 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 184 1665 1111 38 0 0
ODI 0 13 18 413 4652 1067 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 23 1167 6727 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 843 722 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3506 7445 326 230 20 0 0 0
OW 0 494 352 687 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 199 1519 1101 45 0 0
ODI 0 10 20 466 4420 877 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 1381 6948 264 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 805 720 0

Date: 2023-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3644 7523 229 108 6 0 0 0
OW 0 755 510 633 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 218 1782 1071 63 0 0
ODI 0 6 18 591 4056 1166 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 39 1307 6739 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1206 89 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3644 7580 282 203 28 0 0 0
OW 0 673 446 579 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 225 1602 936 70 0 0
ODI 0 8 22 725 3952 954 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 1530 6992 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1158 91 0

Date: 2023-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4975 7013 232 135 3 0 0 0
OW 0 548 346 441 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 292 1920 715 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 674 5664 714 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 2400 5458 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 158 165 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4975 6528 244 267 32 0 0 0
OW 0 897 324 558 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 275 275 1498 979 45 0 0
ODI 0 7 31 798 4019 760 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 3674 4934 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 591 83 0

Date: 2023-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6307 6549 151 94 7 0 0 0
OW 1 823 302 239 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 467 613 1913 208 1 0 0
ODI 0 35 40 1717 4652 882 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 44 2227 4543 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 137 4 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6244 5692 192 162 16 0 0 0
OW 58 1344 226 325 54 0 0 0
VODI 6 748 543 1548 370 1 0 0
ODI 0 90 144 1823 3168 335 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 149 3497 5119 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 108 13 0

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5607 7243 304 266 36 0 0 0
OW 0 650 335 480 115 4 0 0
VODI 0 203 386 1834 721 104 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1001 3559 2788 177 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1254 4646 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 7 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5553 6277 225 366 136 3 0 0
OW 47 1059 254 408 181 17 0 0
VODI 7 684 493 1524 607 181 7 0
ODI 0 76 53 1270 2843 1177 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1915 6193 408 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 16 0 0


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