Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85681 9804 539 814 98 3 0 0
OW 0 219 200 601 110 7 0 0
VODI 0 38 80 536 423 39 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 174 305 234 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 61 437 5323 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2228 971 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86840 8687 622 1087 65 0 0 0
OW 0 159 172 455 162 2 0 0
VODI 0 35 96 485 396 33 1 0
ODI 0 13 10 189 320 196 12 0
CDI 0 4 14 87 469 5500 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2684 119 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86602 9194 692 1003 58 0 0 0
OW 0 70 134 341 69 7 0 0
VODI 0 36 66 573 459 25 1 0
ODI 0 12 28 190 467 312 10 0
CDI 0 3 6 42 293 6786 204 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1354 62 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87547 8473 655 946 75 0 0 0
OW 0 79 100 366 114 10 0 0
VODI 0 36 57 537 394 35 0 0
ODI 0 12 25 168 527 227 0 0
CDI 0 6 13 31 346 5776 492 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 794 1258 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87547 8487 662 968 82 1 0 0
OW 0 65 93 376 109 5 0 0
VODI 0 34 54 492 378 44 0 0
ODI 0 14 28 179 526 222 0 0
CDI 0 6 13 33 361 5726 498 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 844 1252 0

Date: 2023-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86934 9436 655 738 58 7 0 0
OW 0 87 95 365 123 16 0 0
VODI 0 36 48 471 370 57 0 0
ODI 0 6 23 141 437 318 7 0
CDI 0 2 17 26 239 4194 1878 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 165 2120 31
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86934 9441 654 726 63 5 0 0
OW 0 84 101 400 109 18 0 0
VODI 0 30 43 442 386 63 0 0
ODI 0 10 23 141 425 351 3 0
CDI 0 2 17 32 244 4162 1853 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 158 2149 30

Date: 2023-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87102 9729 576 415 34 0 0 0
OW 0 81 80 285 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 111 630 297 21 0 0
ODI 0 2 20 208 568 139 1 0
CDI 0 0 2 14 195 3101 363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 521 4330 168
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87102 9728 588 517 51 0 0 0
OW 0 89 108 460 145 2 0 0
VODI 0 28 57 351 400 37 0 0
ODI 0 22 23 185 360 462 31 0
CDI 0 0 13 39 190 3249 2913 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 1750 168

Date: 2023-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87274 9533 543 659 47 0 0 0
OW 0 62 94 310 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 80 610 369 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 207 429 111 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 600 3157 359 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1291 2373 797
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87274 9502 551 801 82 0 0 0
OW 0 93 104 389 203 2 0 0
VODI 0 23 47 378 359 51 0 0
ODI 0 9 26 196 409 470 57 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 493 4064 1931 95
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 744 702

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88987 8354 387 340 52 0 0 0
OW 0 103 101 331 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 85 595 383 31 0 0
ODI 0 7 12 186 344 100 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 316 3873 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 883 2186 843
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88987 8295 414 530 92 0 0 0
OW 0 151 89 348 212 1 0 0
VODI 0 30 57 388 314 52 0 0
ODI 0 13 23 174 377 687 37 0
CDI 0 0 2 39 200 4141 2175 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 423 813


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