Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1341 7055 443 255 39 4 0 0
OW 0 434 380 1012 174 2 0 0
VODI 0 94 95 1526 1787 74 0 0
ODI 0 21 30 402 5349 1051 1 0
CDI 0 8 10 54 2730 7052 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 517 79 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2573 6254 467 371 41 4 0 0
OW 0 471 319 1046 346 4 0 0
VODI 0 110 124 1293 2452 258 6 0
ODI 0 23 21 233 4398 1246 41 0
CDI 0 8 12 46 1702 7428 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 421 121 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2761 6667 438 306 33 2 0 0
OW 0 290 275 621 82 7 0 0
VODI 0 91 161 1373 939 54 7 0
ODI 0 10 14 580 5989 1884 39 0
CDI 0 2 2 36 702 7915 660 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 70 71 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2771 6912 342 271 14 4 0 0
OW 0 311 313 774 78 11 0 0
VODI 0 110 188 1655 1262 85 9 0
ODI 0 10 20 440 5911 1965 49 0
CDI 0 2 2 21 408 6371 1722 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 19 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2771 6904 386 376 26 4 0 0
OW 0 310 274 734 136 19 0 0
VODI 0 116 183 1552 1230 101 13 0
ODI 0 12 19 476 5821 1819 39 0
CDI 0 3 3 23 460 6486 1729 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 39 18 0

Date: 2023-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2360 7497 290 235 11 0 0 0
OW 1 534 392 684 102 3 0 0
VODI 0 148 221 1831 1736 87 0 0
ODI 0 9 18 324 5101 2578 51 0
CDI 0 0 3 16 417 6072 1346 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2360 7558 366 340 34 0 0 0
OW 1 477 322 665 138 7 0 0
VODI 0 144 215 1752 1669 101 0 0
ODI 0 9 18 316 5096 2383 47 0
CDI 0 0 3 17 430 6251 1350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0

Date: 2023-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2133 8183 334 183 15 0 0 0
OW 0 472 307 402 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 328 1742 616 9 0 0
ODI 0 8 13 723 5212 640 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1102 7415 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 414 1391 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2132 7990 349 351 48 0 0 0
OW 1 642 351 679 224 3 0 0
VODI 0 165 258 1703 1964 125 0 0
ODI 0 14 21 310 4483 3136 2 0
CDI 0 1 3 16 289 5214 1600 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0

Date: 2023-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3456 7225 299 197 19 0 0 0
OW 0 475 413 616 98 1 0 0
VODI 0 103 191 1644 1021 87 0 0
ODI 0 11 15 516 4581 1133 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 991 6890 421 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 365 1285 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3455 6931 356 377 52 1 0 0
OW 1 676 348 827 334 7 0 0
VODI 0 188 186 1475 2316 261 0 0
ODI 0 19 26 299 3685 3694 117 0
CDI 0 0 2 18 323 4513 1589 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3568 7504 247 114 3 0 0 0
OW 0 718 460 619 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 223 1766 1013 12 0 0
ODI 0 9 23 578 4301 1126 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 23 1233 6738 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1173 334 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3567 7263 375 360 30 0 0 0
OW 1 813 338 924 313 4 0 0
VODI 0 245 213 1501 2439 161 0 0
ODI 0 48 25 295 3211 4174 44 0
CDI 0 0 4 20 629 4710 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0


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