Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82653 11242 502 813 161 36 2 0
OW 6 140 104 373 304 33 6 0
VODI 0 41 55 665 1114 28 1 0
ODI 0 18 15 183 877 289 0 0
CDI 0 8 22 207 681 1871 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 731 5119 764 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83436 10444 620 946 222 26 0 0
OW 4 123 93 576 333 6 0 0
VODI 0 41 41 800 976 18 0 0
ODI 0 21 8 165 728 178 0 0
CDI 0 8 26 249 643 2053 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 923 4690 665 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83312 10846 539 814 209 9 0 0
OW 1 79 84 412 133 2 0 0
VODI 0 43 95 1210 798 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 313 918 237 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 73 770 4009 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 3439 605 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82937 11480 510 785 180 1 0 0
OW 0 102 135 687 213 1 0 0
VODI 0 41 66 954 859 14 0 0
ODI 0 3 16 216 556 311 4 0
CDI 0 0 13 66 636 3839 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 320 3403 570 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82937 11479 516 843 198 1 0 0
OW 0 91 117 670 219 1 0 0
VODI 0 51 76 896 824 25 0 0
ODI 0 5 18 219 545 251 6 0
CDI 0 0 13 81 668 3856 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 310 3435 570 0

Date: 2023-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83901 10954 460 718 149 0 0 0
OW 0 141 183 805 193 6 0 0
VODI 0 45 55 875 593 31 0 0
ODI 0 3 16 199 420 270 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 77 481 4096 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 3923 312 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83901 10957 487 875 155 0 0 0
OW 0 125 138 710 210 6 0 0
VODI 0 56 72 794 580 41 0 0
ODI 0 5 15 209 372 225 3 0
CDI 0 0 3 86 524 4105 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 83 3949 312 0

Date: 2023-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86076 8976 499 622 149 4 0 0
OW 0 121 160 440 75 3 0 0
VODI 0 28 125 1103 492 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 279 597 232 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 544 4876 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3287 253 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86076 8909 552 1036 182 3 0 0
OW 0 147 146 653 278 4 0 0
VODI 0 63 73 507 477 45 0 0
ODI 0 5 14 195 297 308 15 0
CDI 0 2 9 77 615 3763 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 4284 196 0

Date: 2023-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85959 9413 472 681 197 0 0 0
OW 0 148 136 617 116 4 0 0
VODI 0 28 72 706 524 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 157 350 253 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 411 4953 329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2851 591 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85959 9339 497 1059 251 0 0 0
OW 0 188 135 593 307 10 0 0
VODI 0 56 42 328 341 105 3 0
ODI 0 6 13 145 242 317 26 0
CDI 0 0 3 74 464 3830 321 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3849 594 0

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85681 9804 539 814 98 3 0 0
OW 0 219 200 601 110 7 0 0
VODI 0 38 80 536 423 39 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 174 305 234 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 61 437 5323 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2228 971 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85681 9791 642 1223 179 4 0 0
OW 0 209 124 393 185 8 0 0
VODI 0 60 45 323 302 89 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 147 200 304 29 0
CDI 0 2 8 100 504 4055 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3374 997 0


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