Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 3681 281 298 32 15 0 0
OW 0 423 261 527 237 51 4 0
VODI 0 209 188 977 954 140 38 0
ODI 0 28 31 281 2167 842 27 0
CDI 0 13 23 121 2516 8718 585 0
VCDI 0 1 0 13 259 4791 2734 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 589 3954 244 246 91 19 0 0
OW 0 619 291 518 360 84 0 0
VODI 0 258 173 811 1213 272 4 0
ODI 0 34 22 232 1864 747 32 0
CDI 0 28 22 173 4023 7303 469 0
VCDI 0 1 0 13 108 4891 2374 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 607 4837 323 273 69 10 0 0
OW 0 315 235 447 175 14 0 0
VODI 0 116 135 826 880 48 0 0
ODI 0 19 20 379 4207 1337 8 0
CDI 0 3 14 81 2071 9244 954 0
VCDI 0 1 0 8 423 1525 2478 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 601 5018 343 343 98 24 0 0
OW 0 472 253 515 186 23 0 0
VODI 0 147 197 1042 832 82 0 0
ODI 0 30 26 534 4934 1435 4 0
CDI 0 21 23 107 2891 7654 360 0
VCDI 0 1 0 10 326 2062 1488 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 601 5089 368 367 130 25 0 0
OW 0 380 228 487 213 28 0 0
VODI 0 167 184 1044 924 87 0 0
ODI 0 33 40 532 4684 1342 4 0
CDI 0 19 22 111 2984 7586 404 0
VCDI 0 1 0 10 332 2212 1444 0

Date: 2023-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1487 4609 288 333 88 7 0 0
OW 0 563 310 605 226 19 0 0
VODI 0 189 215 1079 1008 160 3 0
ODI 0 28 40 686 5195 1707 6 0
CDI 0 33 21 133 2761 6422 598 0
VCDI 0 1 0 14 513 1808 927 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1487 4701 314 396 144 16 0 0
OW 0 469 269 535 211 41 0 0
VODI 0 170 220 1177 1069 134 2 0
ODI 0 52 49 596 4849 1577 7 0
CDI 0 30 22 139 3018 6274 595 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 500 2081 930 0

Date: 2023-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1569 5418 323 272 45 3 0 0
OW 0 529 335 503 64 8 0 0
VODI 0 138 194 1746 850 9 0 0
ODI 0 24 21 658 6606 796 0 0
CDI 0 8 12 54 1580 8883 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 670 496 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1569 5026 306 418 148 3 0 0
OW 0 648 241 493 230 28 0 0
VODI 0 316 250 1361 1369 84 0 0
ODI 0 80 56 821 5064 1237 0 0
CDI 0 46 32 122 2301 6804 147 0
VCDI 0 1 0 18 43 2213 607 0

Date: 2023-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1581 6136 406 307 30 3 0 0
OW 0 464 349 716 93 4 0 0
VODI 0 79 162 1812 1341 32 0 0
ODI 0 18 19 482 6111 826 3 0
CDI 0 14 10 60 2318 7899 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 640 117 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1581 5500 340 427 142 7 0 0
OW 0 689 255 565 249 27 1 0
VODI 0 402 274 1612 1640 106 4 0
ODI 0 67 41 630 5212 871 7 0
CDI 0 53 36 134 2557 6166 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 95 2227 125 0

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1341 7055 443 255 39 4 0 0
OW 0 434 380 1012 174 2 0 0
VODI 0 94 95 1526 1787 74 0 0
ODI 0 21 30 402 5349 1051 1 0
CDI 0 8 10 54 2730 7052 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 517 79 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1341 6173 366 514 274 11 0 0
OW 0 724 203 470 447 20 0 0
VODI 0 548 288 1572 2034 306 0 0
ODI 0 101 62 527 4350 1054 5 0
CDI 0 65 34 151 2899 5084 15 0
VCDI 0 1 5 15 76 2225 122 0


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