Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76959 12464 890 2609 479 6 0 0
OW 12 72 94 695 418 18 1 0
VODI 0 18 27 403 789 153 6 0
ODI 0 1 4 68 927 522 17 0
CDI 0 12 23 109 913 1746 324 0
VCDI 0 0 1 3 27 1378 5817 1095
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77516 12522 1049 2487 345 10 0 0
OW 10 47 86 577 327 40 1 0
VODI 0 16 15 408 770 181 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 80 763 716 33 0
CDI 0 18 23 150 759 1435 566 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 10 1038 6503 588
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78734 12334 1048 1720 193 10 0 0
OW 9 38 71 481 197 6 0 0
VODI 0 16 33 593 622 37 0 0
ODI 0 2 20 320 1242 482 1 0
CDI 0 17 23 176 827 1475 307 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 1794 6019 192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79570 12074 867 1524 225 9 0 0
OW 9 74 86 524 238 7 0 0
VODI 0 13 26 542 839 30 0 0
ODI 0 13 24 222 1326 380 10 0
CDI 0 23 39 205 954 1250 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 3212 4581 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79570 12089 878 1559 242 9 0 0
OW 9 56 69 459 220 6 0 0
VODI 0 17 30 542 766 20 0 0
ODI 0 13 27 250 1331 310 7 0
CDI 0 22 38 207 1019 1316 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 3227 4584 0

Date: 2023-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80657 11921 749 1024 164 4 0 0
OW 7 82 91 614 303 8 0 0
VODI 0 22 33 437 852 96 0 0
ODI 0 11 27 201 1113 442 3 0
CDI 0 31 48 244 1093 1284 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 125 3372 3838 32
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80657 11911 761 1099 193 4 0 0
OW 7 82 68 492 299 15 0 0
VODI 0 31 41 470 770 60 0 0
ODI 0 12 33 213 1118 409 1 0
CDI 0 31 45 246 1109 1376 223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 3342 3789 32

Date: 2023-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81402 11580 622 907 153 15 0 0
OW 7 76 108 429 155 12 0 0
VODI 0 31 53 579 591 47 0 0
ODI 0 14 20 293 1977 376 0 0
CDI 0 7 23 150 956 1797 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 175 4245 2120 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81403 11526 625 1153 297 49 0 0
OW 6 98 88 401 367 10 0 0
VODI 0 46 46 358 906 61 0 0
ODI 0 12 27 214 949 325 1 0
CDI 0 26 40 232 1132 1305 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 356 4742 2158 0

Date: 2023-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83417 10216 483 799 141 32 3 0
OW 6 136 103 371 229 27 1 0
VODI 0 43 61 499 1036 48 1 0
ODI 0 12 15 216 1383 362 8 0
CDI 0 4 13 164 667 1649 205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 455 5216 1076 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83417 10125 502 997 369 70 5 0
OW 6 166 74 294 418 20 0 0
VODI 0 78 50 305 945 77 5 0
ODI 0 22 21 213 730 218 18 0
CDI 0 20 28 222 760 1310 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 689 5639 1162 0

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82653 11242 502 813 161 36 2 0
OW 6 140 104 373 304 33 6 0
VODI 0 41 55 665 1114 28 1 0
ODI 0 18 15 183 877 289 0 0
CDI 0 8 22 207 681 1871 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 731 5119 764 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82654 11139 530 1003 436 74 9 0
OW 5 192 67 381 425 10 0 0
VODI 0 54 42 389 814 62 0 0
ODI 0 25 15 175 498 124 1 0
CDI 0 39 44 287 818 1558 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 877 5548 792 0


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