Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 253 2363 229 360 88 20 0 0
OW 0 348 151 298 215 105 2 0
VODI 0 239 128 446 757 266 9 0
ODI 0 120 86 311 1267 755 152 0
CDI 0 35 75 392 1958 2559 392 0
VCDI 0 0 1 18 271 4536 10559 2318
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 283 2591 256 285 87 19 0 0
OW 0 368 161 348 209 132 0 0
VODI 0 231 139 426 885 347 8 0
ODI 0 98 60 283 1301 866 15 0
CDI 0 47 69 306 1350 3919 494 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 37 4048 12338 72
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 238 3180 272 278 65 7 0 0
OW 0 256 202 335 160 55 4 0
VODI 0 109 128 625 653 226 6 0
ODI 0 27 59 361 1837 1126 43 0
CDI 0 2 15 138 1010 5192 656 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 58 4525 10187 44
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 249 3253 272 399 90 1 0 0
OW 0 244 188 424 261 46 0 0
VODI 0 86 113 606 952 381 12 0
ODI 0 33 36 323 1687 1052 32 0
CDI 0 6 9 138 965 6050 1473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 52 2868 9478 301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 249 3282 290 452 133 9 0 0
OW 0 213 176 380 246 46 0 0
VODI 0 88 102 601 872 387 18 0
ODI 0 32 38 305 1699 1065 29 0
CDI 0 7 12 153 1020 6017 1373 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 37 2874 9575 301

Date: 2023-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 275 3432 276 341 79 2 0 0
OW 1 259 199 448 353 81 1 0
VODI 0 81 99 570 959 890 28 0
ODI 0 24 20 226 1081 1375 54 0
CDI 0 10 11 132 588 8159 1368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 115 4280 6255 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 276 3478 302 429 130 25 1 0
OW 0 215 172 387 330 90 3 0
VODI 0 78 98 543 947 817 29 0
ODI 0 26 22 216 1065 1442 49 0
CDI 0 9 11 152 585 7828 1305 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 4585 6319 0

Date: 2023-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 266 3646 268 257 56 6 0 0
OW 0 252 215 362 156 19 0 0
VODI 0 74 165 834 662 133 3 0
ODI 0 10 26 418 2219 1203 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 835 9940 876 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 38 2867 6173 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 266 3578 320 432 197 43 0 0
OW 0 249 180 425 362 151 24 0
VODI 0 112 129 680 1191 674 13 0
ODI 0 33 33 270 1318 1017 9 0
CDI 0 10 12 141 826 8539 1399 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 72 3744 5630 0

Date: 2023-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 337 3857 242 269 62 5 0 0
OW 0 359 207 445 180 46 0 0
VODI 0 200 193 887 711 153 3 0
ODI 0 23 37 337 2023 1182 21 0
CDI 0 1 10 120 1608 9257 928 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 52 4400 3918 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 337 3642 292 433 217 81 0 0
OW 0 439 192 564 469 169 5 0
VODI 0 277 138 591 1199 522 7 0
ODI 0 71 44 308 1167 1024 30 0
CDI 0 11 23 162 1547 9178 849 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 37 4069 3979 0

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 3681 281 298 32 15 0 0
OW 0 423 261 527 237 51 4 0
VODI 0 209 188 977 954 140 38 0
ODI 0 28 31 281 2167 842 27 0
CDI 0 13 23 121 2516 8718 585 0
VCDI 0 1 0 13 259 4791 2734 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 3477 336 527 245 88 25 0
OW 0 503 224 633 744 163 38 0
VODI 0 274 142 594 1226 259 7 0
ODI 0 71 50 294 1396 941 30 0
CDI 0 29 32 158 2301 8607 627 0
VCDI 0 1 0 11 253 4499 2661 0


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