Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74883 12717 659 1363 422 61 1 0
OW 42 114 89 601 491 47 2 0
VODI 0 65 36 535 1272 156 21 0
ODI 0 37 31 188 1168 747 75 0
CDI 0 4 15 108 767 2523 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1283 6004 1530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74748 12986 707 1577 597 19 0 0
OW 41 137 94 568 775 45 2 0
VODI 0 64 37 413 1309 219 13 0
ODI 0 26 22 137 1011 697 68 0
CDI 0 3 12 95 694 2252 1003 0
VCDI 0 2 2 8 67 2592 5682 376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75851 12063 734 1696 415 34 3 0
OW 37 86 99 712 427 32 3 0
VODI 0 27 42 742 1200 107 6 0
ODI 0 0 1 100 1442 518 39 0
CDI 0 2 8 53 625 2355 849 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 880 7537 360
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75864 12404 737 1799 348 29 3 0
OW 23 104 113 953 527 25 5 0
VODI 0 55 68 604 1233 144 15 0
ODI 0 0 3 92 1039 446 24 0
CDI 0 5 10 51 769 2194 1244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 158 5560 2450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75864 12412 766 2175 451 32 3 0
OW 23 110 99 667 429 20 6 0
VODI 0 41 54 498 1070 124 13 0
ODI 0 0 2 106 1157 399 13 0
CDI 0 5 10 53 809 2246 1173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 175 5643 2450

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75789 12617 792 1984 548 13 0 0
OW 19 122 169 944 634 49 5 0
VODI 0 35 52 451 1087 203 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 792 487 58 0
CDI 0 9 10 65 784 2018 1082 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 345 6181 1623
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75788 12655 864 2294 623 18 0 0
OW 20 95 103 621 520 44 6 0
VODI 0 24 46 460 1032 185 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 843 417 40 0
CDI 0 9 10 66 827 2029 1015 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 422 6268 1623

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75775 12725 743 1908 565 11 0 0
OW 18 140 166 805 383 16 0 0
VODI 0 51 90 804 818 38 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 185 1246 454 8 0
CDI 0 8 12 41 616 1956 600 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 603 7617 691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75775 12774 830 2550 957 18 0 0
OW 18 119 126 628 537 38 0 0
VODI 0 23 45 408 721 243 10 0
ODI 0 1 1 108 731 448 86 0
CDI 0 8 12 49 683 1788 1081 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 543 7048 691

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76591 12605 897 2226 394 2 0 0
OW 16 153 171 777 389 12 0 0
VODI 0 15 30 581 767 65 3 0
ODI 0 1 8 82 1039 509 11 0
CDI 0 11 15 73 674 1851 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 5 895 5996 1683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76591 12594 974 2716 683 12 0 0
OW 16 140 81 509 453 63 3 0
VODI 0 38 39 314 734 228 6 0
ODI 0 2 13 129 709 585 80 0
CDI 0 11 14 71 681 1774 1156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 8 672 5317 1683

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76959 12464 890 2609 479 6 0 0
OW 12 72 94 695 418 18 1 0
VODI 0 18 27 403 789 153 6 0
ODI 0 1 4 68 927 522 17 0
CDI 0 12 23 109 913 1746 324 0
VCDI 0 0 1 3 27 1378 5817 1095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76959 12410 903 2918 734 51 3 0
OW 12 103 63 424 427 141 0 0
VODI 0 40 38 314 767 198 3 0
ODI 0 2 11 111 713 768 88 0
CDI 0 12 22 116 905 1843 967 0
VCDI 0 0 2 4 7 822 5104 1095


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