Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 1426 58 94 8 0 0 0
OW 0 182 59 51 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 76 159 87 32 24 0
ODI 0 113 51 143 178 230 90 1
CDI 0 101 69 200 530 1544 748 0
VCDI 0 89 58 201 313 5292 18936 668
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 1451 65 111 5 0 0 0
OW 0 182 66 72 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 79 166 127 34 14 0
ODI 0 121 48 154 188 245 136 0
CDI 0 127 93 217 461 1120 1529 0
VCDI 0 76 75 156 293 3401 20386 652
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 1791 75 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 263 85 74 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 96 224 107 37 6 0
ODI 0 102 66 213 306 276 12 0
CDI 0 119 90 304 652 1414 495 0
VCDI 0 13 13 44 171 4143 20159 438
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 1817 100 80 1 0 0 0
OW 0 224 94 89 29 3 0 0
VODI 0 175 67 178 163 70 6 0
ODI 0 118 58 216 335 256 22 0
CDI 0 140 88 287 599 1714 591 0
VCDI 0 18 27 67 387 4266 18997 598
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 1845 118 89 8 0 0 0
OW 0 195 79 69 20 8 0 0
VODI 0 170 62 170 135 62 7 0
ODI 0 116 51 216 309 237 22 0
CDI 0 144 95 301 649 1679 507 0
VCDI 0 22 29 72 393 4323 19080 598

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 1851 106 77 3 0 0 0
OW 0 223 99 141 48 19 0 0
VODI 0 209 76 186 243 75 18 0
ODI 0 139 51 178 313 309 49 0
CDI 0 116 75 311 989 1641 700 1
VCDI 0 32 23 139 778 5479 16453 730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 1886 121 89 12 0 0 0
OW 0 177 78 111 44 16 0 0
VODI 0 218 80 184 197 68 15 0
ODI 0 124 46 184 296 292 42 0
CDI 0 132 81 339 1069 1561 695 1
VCDI 0 33 24 125 756 5586 16468 730

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 1787 96 68 10 0 0 0
OW 0 306 104 114 36 6 0 0
VODI 0 162 143 270 222 47 4 0
ODI 0 59 59 260 535 346 46 0
CDI 0 48 29 227 1091 3286 948 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 202 5848 15330 109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 1738 120 115 74 17 2 0
OW 0 203 54 119 82 24 9 0
VODI 0 179 87 156 163 141 33 0
ODI 0 93 71 167 253 295 107 0
CDI 0 121 84 296 819 2076 1406 9
VCDI 0 28 15 89 705 6980 14771 100

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 443 1951 61 36 4 0 0 0
OW 0 353 102 135 65 5 0 0
VODI 0 171 126 276 206 56 6 0
ODI 0 75 52 197 441 369 57 0
CDI 0 66 55 244 616 3186 1853 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 4364 15226 1214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 443 1858 86 110 67 14 0 0
OW 0 242 39 104 82 13 0 0
VODI 0 243 87 119 229 100 12 0
ODI 0 128 90 192 252 305 77 0
CDI 0 130 79 308 530 2027 2957 0
VCDI 0 15 15 55 243 5521 14096 1214

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 418 1998 68 53 11 0 0 0
OW 0 380 94 123 98 6 0 0
VODI 0 233 101 274 251 38 1 0
ODI 0 150 76 190 542 408 41 0
CDI 0 52 73 287 1155 3732 1662 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 208 3498 15012 828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 418 1863 90 138 72 7 0 0
OW 0 280 41 88 137 37 2 0
VODI 0 286 80 121 200 120 4 0
ODI 0 196 90 230 340 223 42 0
CDI 0 188 110 333 889 3611 3364 0
VCDI 0 0 1 38 627 3684 13304 828


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