Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1554 250 449 192 51 5 0
OW 0 212 66 323 434 216 46 0
VODI 0 131 66 147 313 325 206 0
ODI 0 65 40 145 209 455 608 0
CDI 0 77 22 179 465 1475 3184 0
VCDI 0 29 29 181 275 3025 24939 5478
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1671 313 566 415 147 3 0
OW 0 211 71 289 375 215 7 0
VODI 0 152 73 192 402 486 42 0
ODI 0 84 52 251 340 972 138 0
CDI 0 146 44 297 690 2219 1514 0
VCDI 0 67 38 121 355 3354 22377 7177
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2226 363 693 370 10 0 0
OW 0 166 89 266 264 37 1 0
VODI 0 79 59 214 454 153 17 0
ODI 0 64 31 154 535 482 148 0
CDI 0 40 25 164 490 1565 2797 0
VCDI 0 2 10 89 300 3955 25332 4222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2515 349 730 321 9 0 0
OW 0 194 94 361 232 22 7 0
VODI 0 130 60 437 464 174 36 0
ODI 0 71 34 256 617 400 124 0
CDI 0 221 78 710 1738 1559 1158 4
VCDI 0 9 12 80 373 3374 21558 7355
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2510 366 775 342 12 0 0
OW 0 189 75 296 240 20 7 0
VODI 0 126 59 460 420 186 39 0
ODI 0 71 33 248 641 434 154 0
CDI 0 229 67 652 1705 1458 1124 2
VCDI 0 15 27 143 397 3428 21559 7357

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2817 380 742 313 8 0 0
OW 0 251 127 365 282 38 1 0
VODI 0 121 97 437 529 282 29 0
ODI 0 74 34 148 621 720 59 0
CDI 0 77 36 119 390 3456 875 0
VCDI 0 78 34 71 223 3783 23023 5226
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2825 384 780 342 7 0 0
OW 0 227 109 273 263 45 3 0
VODI 0 126 111 486 522 306 35 0
ODI 0 74 36 157 624 705 72 0
CDI 0 83 33 114 382 3507 895 0
VCDI 0 83 35 72 225 3717 22982 5226

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3731 345 684 206 3 0 0
OW 0 600 197 382 177 13 3 0
VODI 0 416 132 616 636 121 9 0
ODI 0 191 64 419 1361 663 54 0
CDI 0 62 18 228 444 1362 476 0
VCDI 0 9 11 30 150 3471 25472 3110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3420 343 750 306 13 2 0
OW 0 357 100 336 317 77 20 0
VODI 0 272 128 418 674 242 73 0
ODI 0 264 62 303 657 349 96 0
CDI 0 537 101 488 821 1303 1023 4
VCDI 0 159 33 64 199 3649 24800 3106

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4096 485 900 356 533 3 0
OW 0 268 93 323 329 339 20 0
VODI 0 114 68 282 621 729 34 0
ODI 0 103 26 142 613 1238 90 0
CDI 0 53 35 107 380 1288 479 0
VCDI 0 2 5 21 216 5106 19857 6512
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3563 381 859 447 100 6 0
OW 0 374 135 325 350 168 42 0
VODI 0 255 64 283 638 447 92 0
ODI 0 130 51 88 487 1451 100 0
CDI 0 138 39 137 241 1999 1125 0
VCDI 0 176 42 83 352 5068 19118 6512

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 4573 482 863 515 579 0 0
OW 0 263 119 338 448 361 11 0
VODI 0 122 56 258 727 668 59 0
ODI 0 78 39 91 601 922 59 0
CDI 0 67 48 124 347 1604 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 6 156 911 4049 16550 8712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 3948 405 824 498 103 23 0
OW 0 397 106 311 391 244 62 0
VODI 0 275 70 241 552 648 59 0
ODI 0 132 47 89 601 1325 76 0
CDI 0 142 55 125 420 1440 1411 0
VCDI 0 209 67 240 1087 4423 16049 8712


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