Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73476 16799 957 1736 571 102 18 0
OW 50 524 211 944 816 254 60 0
VODI 0 385 178 720 1138 543 247 0
ODI 0 234 103 505 1450 1377 763 1
CDI 0 248 115 485 1902 5492 5181 0
VCDI 0 118 87 419 706 9598 50715 7820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72832 17514 1083 2005 841 218 19 0
OW 50 527 222 878 815 281 19 0
VODI 0 382 188 709 1377 780 106 0
ODI 0 251 123 630 1626 1943 500 0
CDI 0 336 161 613 2154 5506 3974 0
VCDI 0 143 116 292 725 7908 49134 10067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75058 16582 1082 1970 689 67 2 0
OW 47 539 276 850 566 81 1 0
VODI 0 294 203 879 1485 289 33 0
ODI 0 199 125 599 2364 1492 224 0
CDI 0 160 122 508 2003 5289 4519 0
VCDI 0 15 23 139 512 8975 51996 6791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75071 16967 1092 2170 681 71 0 0
OW 43 532 280 1020 671 65 8 0
VODI 0 365 174 1145 1839 364 51 0
ODI 0 227 125 689 2295 1335 238 0
CDI 0 363 175 1084 3217 5608 2878 4
VCDI 0 27 39 147 819 8484 46852 9833
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75071 17003 1141 2304 769 70 1 0
OW 43 489 233 875 705 66 7 0
VODI 0 357 167 1156 1691 370 56 0
ODI 0 220 116 659 2194 1314 262 0
CDI 0 375 172 1046 3314 5480 2732 2
VCDI 0 37 56 215 849 8627 46969 9835

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74921 17652 1133 2292 826 34 0 0
OW 41 613 324 1133 914 104 3 0
VODI 0 400 198 1180 1965 553 64 0
ODI 0 241 116 497 2077 1714 168 0
CDI 0 198 127 545 2202 7396 2552 7
VCDI 0 110 59 214 1079 10876 45639 6881
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74921 17711 1164 2455 987 35 0 0
OW 41 520 273 933 919 106 6 0
VODI 0 422 219 1187 1731 560 66 0
ODI 0 225 107 509 2008 1625 184 0
CDI 0 220 135 579 2354 7425 2554 7
VCDI 0 116 59 198 1064 10926 45616 6881

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75873 17773 1118 2223 621 23 0 0
OW 38 1039 429 1081 522 54 5 0
VODI 0 617 337 1661 1939 223 18 0
ODI 0 250 124 864 3696 1594 127 0
CDI 0 112 55 499 2220 6827 2253 0
VCDI 0 9 11 33 392 11713 47121 3554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75873 17347 1212 2907 1166 75 4 0
OW 38 686 211 946 1090 160 41 0
VODI 0 527 252 915 1961 573 127 0
ODI 0 392 151 585 1831 1268 285 0
CDI 0 661 200 855 2378 5300 3738 13
VCDI 0 187 48 153 964 13058 45329 3541

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75936 18544 1273 2725 781 562 6 0
OW 24 708 299 1330 884 366 24 0
VODI 0 327 263 1238 2060 912 53 0
ODI 0 178 80 436 2251 2050 189 0
CDI 0 122 97 399 1705 6814 3340 0
VCDI 0 2 5 21 299 9843 41068 9834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75936 17814 1225 3508 1359 159 15 0
OW 24 750 267 925 1148 261 46 0
VODI 0 560 177 680 1868 745 134 0
ODI 0 291 162 389 1547 2217 280 0
CDI 0 275 129 509 1452 6147 5451 0
VCDI 0 191 57 138 606 11018 38754 9834

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76184 19212 1317 2785 980 596 0 0
OW 20 763 369 1447 1094 395 20 0
VODI 0 407 217 1012 2193 857 80 0
ODI 0 228 117 357 2017 1847 129 0
CDI 0 125 129 473 2380 7381 3857 0
VCDI 0 0 6 177 1119 7665 36869 12224
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76182 18387 1351 3585 1505 180 34 0
OW 22 803 223 795 1180 363 75 0
VODI 0 618 176 658 1644 1002 91 0
ODI 0 373 154 387 1561 2040 229 0
CDI 0 345 183 548 2172 6866 6239 21
VCDI 0 209 68 278 1721 8290 34287 12203


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