Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 833 136 97 22 11 2 0
OW 0 329 119 230 105 27 5 0
VODI 0 175 89 266 383 161 12 0
ODI 0 86 48 140 292 342 116 0
CDI 0 89 50 201 388 1094 821 3
VCDI 0 41 27 133 289 3415 20780 14509
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 883 146 134 44 12 2 0
OW 0 314 134 274 165 34 0 0
VODI 0 173 70 312 395 154 35 0
ODI 0 106 53 141 263 334 108 0
CDI 0 156 82 227 467 1028 1297 0
VCDI 0 87 36 173 404 2263 27427 7933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1041 198 258 71 7 0 0
OW 0 252 134 414 247 18 0 0
VODI 0 127 50 293 716 236 4 0
ODI 0 76 36 139 398 709 27 0
CDI 0 121 70 301 1041 3472 712 0
VCDI 0 12 9 148 530 2535 26512 4952
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1377 261 381 133 24 0 0
OW 0 213 118 337 397 196 22 0
VODI 0 123 66 170 292 403 178 0
ODI 0 56 37 144 177 426 604 0
CDI 0 104 41 150 400 1337 3423 0
VCDI 0 17 20 100 297 2776 26319 4747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1410 287 462 199 47 0 0
OW 0 191 95 254 331 170 14 0
VODI 0 121 66 179 295 433 183 0
ODI 0 55 37 145 193 397 561 0
CDI 0 98 40 148 393 1355 3536 0
VCDI 0 15 18 94 285 2760 26252 4747

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1606 303 547 323 24 0 0
OW 0 211 68 338 466 125 13 0
VODI 0 129 67 244 468 303 67 0
ODI 0 95 67 239 411 653 204 0
CDI 0 85 31 284 1348 1298 2166 5
VCDI 0 22 21 119 325 2733 23469 6989
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1637 311 596 362 45 0 0
OW 0 174 60 263 384 98 17 0
VODI 0 133 66 268 482 284 72 0
ODI 0 105 70 236 451 654 213 0
CDI 0 74 31 287 1319 1330 2178 5
VCDI 0 25 19 121 343 2725 23439 6989

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1983 311 497 288 45 3 0
OW 0 243 104 311 241 83 1 0
VODI 0 116 73 275 394 190 3 0
ODI 0 66 33 161 539 504 68 0
CDI 0 25 19 101 550 2434 1510 0
VCDI 0 0 2 108 226 3739 25522 5098
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1922 327 630 494 214 4 0
OW 0 215 55 224 206 231 46 0
VODI 0 129 76 195 343 495 236 0
ODI 0 71 38 124 394 549 981 0
CDI 0 60 25 125 408 1719 2000 0
VCDI 0 36 21 155 393 3787 23840 5098

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2359 352 663 416 12 0 0
OW 0 186 87 297 256 43 0 0
VODI 0 79 46 289 497 165 18 0
ODI 0 55 33 201 617 439 108 0
CDI 0 77 70 912 1101 2095 1394 0
VCDI 0 14 20 323 282 3299 23829 5232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2195 328 727 680 83 1 0
OW 0 216 59 260 346 141 31 0
VODI 0 133 69 333 714 267 109 0
ODI 0 66 69 721 714 622 271 0
CDI 0 81 51 377 419 1617 1389 0
VCDI 0 79 32 267 296 3323 23548 5232

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2644 331 786 278 7 0 0
OW 0 231 129 385 256 24 0 0
VODI 0 113 94 471 577 136 13 0
ODI 0 84 35 201 788 392 44 0
CDI 0 67 31 147 1798 2409 809 0
VCDI 0 52 21 76 264 3537 24261 4375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2465 327 914 676 61 4 0
OW 0 272 105 320 446 88 18 0
VODI 0 139 76 344 842 359 36 0
ODI 0 133 68 237 1101 1407 66 0
CDI 0 119 47 172 620 1019 1009 5
VCDI 0 63 18 79 276 3571 23994 4370


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