Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 226 14 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 263 66 99 43 2 0 0
VODI 0 239 110 238 213 102 25 0
ODI 0 78 60 221 303 232 155 0
CDI 0 78 46 187 292 613 1157 0
VCDI 0 22 14 105 455 3614 24550 12019
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 16 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 378 63 112 80 3 3 0
VODI 0 288 121 246 249 113 46 0
ODI 0 82 53 256 297 316 118 0
CDI 0 87 52 190 311 688 913 3
VCDI 0 11 14 117 466 3577 24209 12157
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 748 94 119 13 3 0 0
OW 0 261 124 190 59 4 1 0
VODI 0 150 99 296 300 44 20 0
ODI 0 60 51 160 401 258 48 0
CDI 0 34 40 165 306 698 659 40
VCDI 0 10 6 74 513 2590 23101 14127
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 851 139 98 9 1 2 0
OW 0 301 142 207 82 10 5 0
VODI 0 202 105 329 341 49 13 0
ODI 0 137 55 216 357 166 48 0
CDI 0 129 98 344 715 670 389 0
VCDI 0 132 34 242 1397 2325 21682 13844
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 867 163 126 16 2 2 0
OW 0 302 117 183 94 7 5 0
VODI 0 181 105 327 313 43 9 0
ODI 0 135 52 211 332 140 28 0
CDI 0 130 97 328 729 717 375 0
VCDI 0 137 39 261 1417 2312 21720 13844

Date: 2023-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 895 128 107 21 5 2 0
OW 0 342 136 244 122 31 1 0
VODI 0 184 87 324 366 135 31 0
ODI 0 102 53 159 341 236 104 0
CDI 0 154 59 229 470 1216 782 0
VCDI 0 297 65 293 814 2599 21247 13485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 917 173 177 43 7 2 0
OW 0 300 87 206 136 40 0 0
VODI 0 186 89 294 308 122 22 0
ODI 0 100 53 158 320 207 77 0
CDI 0 150 54 211 503 1371 724 0
VCDI 0 321 72 310 824 2475 21342 13485

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1016 129 149 58 6 1 0
OW 0 339 141 254 88 13 0 0
VODI 0 256 120 491 495 58 22 0
ODI 0 269 69 225 590 309 48 0
CDI 0 1087 193 744 1517 2032 490 0
VCDI 0 69 19 85 297 1997 27186 5004
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 849 149 225 107 13 0 0
OW 0 320 93 248 172 27 1 0
VODI 0 199 80 299 316 95 28 0
ODI 0 230 66 188 345 199 121 0
CDI 0 672 127 458 1037 1466 543 0
VCDI 0 766 156 530 1068 2615 27054 5004

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1166 251 338 80 5 0 0
OW 0 229 126 391 328 86 3 0
VODI 0 124 53 237 459 436 68 0
ODI 0 70 47 143 261 555 330 0
CDI 0 124 57 173 568 1959 2579 0
VCDI 0 11 19 108 317 2728 26599 4838
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 905 189 299 147 32 0 0
OW 0 236 95 273 243 42 8 0
VODI 0 175 60 205 338 240 34 0
ODI 0 114 52 171 250 428 217 0
CDI 0 149 90 251 593 1651 2249 3
VCDI 0 145 67 191 442 3376 27071 4835

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1554 250 449 192 51 5 0
OW 0 212 66 323 434 216 46 0
VODI 0 131 66 147 313 325 206 0
ODI 0 65 40 145 209 455 608 0
CDI 0 77 22 179 465 1475 3184 0
VCDI 0 29 29 181 275 3025 24939 5478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1077 184 385 196 47 1 0
OW 0 301 73 217 246 67 5 0
VODI 0 257 37 167 315 292 89 0
ODI 0 171 48 131 248 335 465 0
CDI 0 165 67 234 411 1498 3315 7
VCDI 0 97 64 290 472 3308 25113 5471


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