Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71023 14930 363 487 211 90 26 0
OW 64 306 139 292 200 68 9 0
VODI 0 82 75 396 401 196 29 0
ODI 0 17 14 165 600 329 86 0
CDI 0 2 2 69 970 1629 688 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 221 3175 7499 4239
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70208 15550 408 648 251 95 33 0
OW 60 271 128 323 254 82 13 0
VODI 0 74 82 358 460 189 47 0
ODI 0 16 15 195 370 328 166 0
CDI 0 25 2 73 695 1501 913 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 330 2990 6997 4942
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70375 15899 422 525 201 63 25 0
OW 55 182 167 345 212 26 17 0
VODI 0 23 55 404 513 142 36 0
ODI 0 2 6 121 577 303 78 0
CDI 0 1 1 63 898 1927 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 149 1943 7830 4940
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70926 15387 457 583 266 89 31 0
OW 59 126 121 399 281 59 25 0
VODI 0 23 38 307 485 176 79 0
ODI 0 2 8 105 476 296 130 0
CDI 0 1 2 72 712 2446 885 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 254 1964 7859 3955
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70926 15392 468 642 296 103 35 0
OW 59 115 112 386 285 55 23 0
VODI 0 27 35 255 476 168 70 0
ODI 0 4 7 103 444 304 138 0
CDI 0 1 4 66 686 2248 833 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 287 2152 7910 3955

Date: 2023-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70155 16065 513 715 335 86 74 0
OW 59 132 116 420 336 97 58 0
VODI 0 51 47 244 472 141 110 0
ODI 0 8 10 112 501 268 137 0
CDI 0 1 3 100 1147 2082 819 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 344 2333 6569 4425
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70155 16065 529 822 435 111 87 0
OW 59 134 99 327 279 71 53 0
VODI 0 41 45 240 457 150 99 0
ODI 0 15 13 103 490 254 146 0
CDI 0 2 2 86 1034 1939 859 0
VCDI 0 0 1 28 440 2482 6523 4425

Date: 2023-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70981 15278 461 719 339 100 47 0
OW 55 227 136 412 277 57 34 0
VODI 0 44 58 386 520 122 53 0
ODI 0 2 8 185 896 421 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 1275 2661 820 0
VCDI 0 0 2 13 239 1419 8482 2202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70981 15287 497 976 590 166 96 0
OW 55 156 79 288 266 85 57 0
VODI 0 82 50 181 404 157 96 0
ODI 0 26 29 121 440 317 150 0
CDI 0 0 8 190 1090 1655 1101 0
VCDI 0 0 2 59 756 2400 8005 2202

Date: 2023-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70540 15855 525 992 397 121 38 0
OW 53 132 114 459 290 60 22 0
VODI 0 25 58 361 532 106 38 0
ODI 0 1 23 217 847 308 91 0
CDI 0 0 4 222 1314 2544 960 0
VCDI 0 0 9 116 189 1826 8234 1477
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70539 15706 527 1144 646 181 63 0
OW 54 165 76 274 275 96 41 0
VODI 0 98 48 261 366 159 106 0
ODI 0 41 44 165 451 291 246 0
CDI 0 3 26 259 1183 1522 943 0
VCDI 0 0 12 264 648 2716 7984 1477

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72145 14483 547 1036 410 126 30 0
OW 59 175 104 386 293 56 32 0
VODI 0 88 58 338 472 117 49 0
ODI 0 69 28 211 696 376 131 0
CDI 0 63 22 207 1096 2186 1212 0
VCDI 0 71 29 106 232 2094 7474 1793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72144 14237 510 1112 619 198 80 0
OW 60 210 95 265 230 73 47 0
VODI 0 134 68 303 348 158 138 0
ODI 0 112 28 169 547 347 317 0
CDI 0 139 47 243 998 1756 819 0
VCDI 0 117 40 192 457 2423 7527 1793


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